Ostersunds FK - Varbergs BoIS prediction 10 October 2026
Ostersunds FK
Varbergs BoISOstersunds FK
United IK NordicSandvikens IFOstersunds FKOstersunds FKVarbergs BoISFalkenbergs FFOstersunds FKOstersunds FKHelsingborgOstersunds FKBrageOrebro SKOstersunds FKLandskrona BoISOstersunds FKOstersunds FKLjungskileArlandaOstersunds FKVarnamoOstersunds FKOstersunds FKGIF SundsvallOstersunds FKOsters IFNorrby IFOstersunds FKOstersunds FKLandskrona BoISVarbergs BoISHelsingborgOstersunds FKVarbergs BoISVarbergs BoISBrageNorrby IFVarbergs BoISVarbergs BoISIFK NorrkopingVarnamoVarbergs BoISVarbergs BoISOddevoldOrebro SKVarbergs BoISIF BoljanVarbergs BoISUnited IK NordicVarbergs BoISVarbergs BoISSandvikens IFVarbergs BoISFalkenbergs FFOsters IFVarbergs BoISOddevoldVarbergs BoISVarbergs BoISNorrby IFOstersunds FKVarbergs BoISVarbergs BoISOstersunds FKVarbergs BoISOstersunds FKOstersunds FKVarbergs BoISVarbergs BoISOstersunds FKVarbergs BoISOstersunds FKVarbergs BoISOstersunds FKOstersunds FKVarbergs BoISOstersunds FKVarbergs BoISOstersunds FKVarbergs BoISOstersunds FKVarbergs BoISVarbergs BoISOstersunds FKOstersunds FKVarbergs BoIS| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  IFK Norrkoping | 28 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 58:18 | +40 | 62 |
| 2 |  Falkenbergs FF | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 52:38 | +14 | 51 |
| 3 | Ostersunds FK | 28 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 38:26 | +12 | 48 |
| 4 | Varbergs BoIS | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 45:34 | +11 | 46 |
| 5 |  Landskrona BoIS | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:32 | +13 | 43 |
| 6 |  Oddevold | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 48:37 | +11 | 42 |
| 7 |  Osters IF | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 46:45 | +1 | 42 |
| 8 |  United IK Nordic | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 41:47 | -6 | 39 |
| 9 |  Sandviken | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 44:38 | +6 | 38 |
| 10 |  Ljungskile | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 37:38 | -1 | 33 |
| 11 |  Helsingborg | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 37:48 | -11 | 32 |
| 12 |  Varnamo | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 35:48 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 |  Orebro SK | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 31:42 | -11 | 29 |
| 14 |  Norrby IF | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 31:41 | -10 | 27 |
| 15 |  Brage | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 45:55 | -10 | 26 |
| 16 |  GIF Sundsvall | 28 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 19:65 | -46 | 19 |
Ostersunds FK vs Varbergs BoIS Prediction (Oct 10)
This Ostersunds FK vs Varbergs BoIS prediction covers the Superettan match on Oct 10, 2026, at 14:00 at Jรคmtkraft Arena in รstersund. Bookmakers and recent form point to Ostersunds FK as slight favourites โ we estimate a 45% win probability for the home side, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 25% chance for Varbergs BoIS.
Team Form
Ostersunds FK come into this fixture unbeaten in their last five Superettan matches, with the sequence D, W, D, W, D. They beat Helsingborg 1-0 at home on Sep 14 and รrebro SK 1-0 away on Sep 7, while drawing 0-0 at Falkenbergs FF, 1-1 at home against Brage, and 1-1 at Landskrona BoIS.
Varbergs BoIS have won three of their last five league games (W, W, L, D, W). They beat Brage 3-2 at home, Norrby IF 2-1 away, and Oddevold 3-1 at home, but lost 0-2 to IFK Norrkรถping and drew 1-1 at Vรคrnamo.
Head-to-Head Record
The overall H2H record favours Varbergs BoIS: 8 wins to Ostersunds FK's 2, with 2 draws. However, the last three Superettan meetings produced one win each and one draw. Ostersunds FK won 2-1 away on Apr 6, 2026; the previous two meetings were a 1-1 draw on Aug 24, 2025 and a 1-0 Varbergs BoIS win on May 11, 2025.
League Table Positions
Varbergs BoIS sit 3rd in Superettan with 44 points (13W 5D 7L), while Ostersunds FK are 4th with 43 points (11W 10D 4L). The gap is only one point. At home, Ostersunds FK rank 3rd with 25 points from 12 games (7W 4D 1L); Varbergs BoIS have 19 points from 12 away games (5W 4D 3L), ranking 5th in the away table.
Win Probability: Ostersunds FK or Varbergs BoIS?
Using the pre-match odds as a base and adjusting for team form, the H2H record and home advantage, we calculate the match outcome probabilities as:
- Ostersunds FK win: 45%
- Draw: 30%
- Varbergs BoIS win: 25%
Ostersunds FK have a strong home record and are unbeaten in five, while Varbergs BoIS have been slightly less consistent away from home. However, Varbergs BoIS hold the historical H2H edge, which keeps the away probability significant. Ostersunds FK are the more likely winner, but the draw and away win cannot be ruled out.
Odds & Ostersunds FK vs Varbergs BoIS Prediction
Pre-match 1X2 odds range from 1.91 to 2.08 for Ostersunds FK, 2.15 to 3.50 for the draw, and 3.50 to 4.03 for Varbergs BoIS. These betting odds signal that bookmakers see Ostersunds FK as the favourite.
Our betting tip is Ostersunds FK to win, but with careful wording: based on the stats, the home team has the highest win probability. A double chance of home win or draw offers added safety for bettors looking at this fixture.
Ostersunds FK vs Varbergs BoIS โ FAQ
- Who will win Ostersunds FK vs Varbergs BoIS?
- Based on form, odds and home advantage, Ostersunds FK are the most likely winner. The probability is Ostersunds FK 45%, draw 30%, Varbergs BoIS 25%.
- What is the win probability for Ostersunds FK?
- Ostersunds FK have a 45% chance to win. Their home record of 7W 4D 1L and five-game unbeaten run support that probability.
- When is the Ostersunds FK vs Varbergs BoIS match?
- The Superettan match takes place on Oct 10, 2026, at 14:00 local time at Jรคmtkraft Arena in รstersund, Sweden.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Pre-match 1X2 odds for Ostersunds FK vs Varbergs BoIS range from 1.91 to 2.08 for a home win, 2.15 to 3.50 for a draw, and 3.50 to 4.03 for an away win.