Otrant Ulcinj - Mladost DG prediction 8 October 2026

The Otrant Ulcinj vs Mladost DG prediction for this 1 CFL clash on Oct 8, 2026, sees the home side as clear favorites. Otrant Ulcinj have a 55% win probability, while Mladost DG are given just a 20% chance of victory, with the draw at 25%.

Team Form

Otrant Ulcinj's recent form has been mixed but with more wins than losses. In their last five matches across all competitions, they have recorded three wins and two defeats (L, W, W, L, W). The most recent outing was a 4-1 friendly loss to Dinamo Tirana on Sep 26, but prior to that they beat Jezero 4-1 at home and FK Mornar Bar 1-0 away in the league. Their only other loss in this run was a narrow 2-1 defeat at Bokelj Kotor. At home, Otrant have been solid, winning two of their last three league games at their own ground, including a 2-0 victory over Buducnost Podgorica.

Mladost DG's form is less convincing. Their last five results read L, W, L, L, W, with the two wins coming in friendlies. In the league, they lost 3-0 at Bokelj Kotor and 2-0 at home to Buducnost Podgorica, before a 1-0 away win at Arsenal Tivat. Their most recent match was a heavy 5-1 friendly defeat to FK Mornar Bar. Mladost have struggled for consistency, especially on the road where they have lost two of their three away league games this season, scoring only 2 goals and conceding 6.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Mladost DG. The two teams have met twice before, and Mladost DG won both encounters. The most recent meeting was on Aug 2, 2026, in the 1 CFL, where Mladost DG triumphed 2-1 at home. The earlier clash, back in the 2 CFL on Sep 4, 2022, also ended 2-1 to Mladost DG, this time away at Otrant Ulcinj. So Mladost DG have a 100% winning record in this fixture, scoring two goals in each match.

League Table Positions

Otrant Ulcinj currently sit 4th in the 1 CFL standings with 13 points from 8 matches (4 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). They have scored 11 goals and conceded 9. Mladost DG are 7th with 10 points from 8 games (3 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses), having scored 8 and conceded 12. Otrant's home record is modest: 4 points from 3 home games (1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss), with just 2 goals scored. Mladost DG's away form is poor: they have taken only 3 points from 3 away matches (1 win, 2 losses), scoring 2 and conceding 6. The table suggests Otrant are the stronger side, but their home advantage is not overwhelming.

Win Probability: Otrant Ulcinj or Mladost DG?

Based on the available odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Otrant Ulcinj have a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Mladost DG have a 20% chance. Bookmakers' odds imply a home win probability of around 54%, and we have slightly adjusted that upward because Otrant are higher in the table and Mladost DG have been poor travellers. However, Mladost DG's perfect H2H record prevents us from giving the home side an even higher probability. The draw remains a realistic outcome given both teams' inconsistent recent results.

Otrant Ulcinj vs Mladost DG Prediction & Odds

The best available odds for this match see Otrant Ulcinj priced between 1.62 and 1.65 to win, the draw at 2.18 to 3.50, and an away win for Mladost DG at 4.50 to 5.25. These odds clearly indicate that bookmakers view Otrant Ulcinj as the favorites. Our prediction aligns with the betting market: Otrant Ulcinj are the more likely winners, but the value might lie in the draw given the head-to-head history and both teams' fluctuating form. A low-scoring home win, such as 2-1, appears the most probable outcome based on the stats.