Montreal Roses Women - Ottawa Rapid FC Women prediction 24 October 2026

Montreal Roses Women vs Ottawa Rapid FC Women prediction for the Northern Super League Women clash on October 3, 2026, at 00:00. According to the latest data and betting odds, Montreal Roses Women enter this match as the favorites with a 40% chance of winning, while Ottawa Rapid FC Women have a 25% probability, and the draw stands at 35%.

Team Form

Montreal Roses Women come into this fixture unbeaten in their last five matches, recording two wins and three draws. Their recent results include a 2-2 draw away at Vancouver Rise Women, a 2-2 home draw with AFC Toronto Women, a 3-2 away victory over Ottawa Rapid FC Women, a 1-0 home win against Halifax Tides Women, and a 2-2 home draw with Calgary Wild FC Women. This solid run shows resilience and an ability to score consistently, with 10 goals scored and 8 conceded in that span.

Ottawa Rapid FC Women, on the other hand, have struggled for consistency, losing four of their last five outings. Their form reads: a 0-3 away loss to AFC Toronto Women, a 3-1 home win over Calgary Wild FC Women, a 0-4 away defeat at Vancouver Rise Women, the 2-3 home loss to Montreal Roses Women, and a 1-2 away loss at AFC Toronto Women. With just one win in that stretch, Ottawa’s defense has been leaky, conceding 13 goals in five games while scoring only 6.

Head-to-Head Record

These two sides have met three times in the Northern Super League Women, with Montreal Roses Women holding a 2-1 advantage. The most recent encounter on September 6, 2026, saw Montreal win 3-2 away. Earlier in the season, Ottawa claimed a 2-1 away victory on June 26, 2026, while Montreal won 2-1 away on May 23, 2026. All three matches featured over 2.5 goals, suggesting another high-scoring affair is possible.

League Table Positions

Montreal Roses Women sit 2nd in the standings with 36 points from 20 matches, having won 10, drawn 6, and lost 4. They have scored 38 goals and conceded 25. Ottawa Rapid FC Women are 3rd, also on 36 points but from 22 games, with 11 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, scoring 44 and conceding 41. Montreal’s game in hand and superior goal difference give them a slight edge. At home, Montreal have a mixed record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses (15 points from 11 games), while Ottawa’s away form shows 5 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses (16 points from 11 games).

Win Probability: Montreal Roses Women or Ottawa Rapid FC Women?

Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• Montreal Roses Women win: 40%
• Draw: 35%
• Ottawa Rapid FC Women win: 25%

The bookmakers’ odds (2.40 home, 2.30 draw, 3.50 away) imply a close contest, but Montreal’s unbeaten run and historical edge tilt the balance in their favor. Ottawa’s poor recent form and defensive issues make an away win unlikely, though the draw remains a strong possibility given Montreal’s three draws in their last five.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers are offering varying odds for this Northern Super League Women fixture. One set of odds prices Montreal Roses Women at 2.40, the draw at 2.30, and Ottawa Rapid FC Women at 3.50. Another bookmaker lists Montreal at 1.83, the draw at 3.60, and Ottawa at 3.40. These odds reflect Montreal as the favorite, but the tight draw odds highlight the competitive nature of the matchup.

Our prediction: based on the stats, Montreal Roses Women are the most likely winners, but a draw cannot be ruled out. A 1-1 or 2-1 scoreline in favor of the home side appears the most probable outcome.