Padova - Virtus Entella prediction 17 October 2026
Padova
Virtus Entella
US Avellino 1912PadovaPadovaVirtus EntellaPadovaCarraresePalermoPadovaPadovaAscoliCremonesePadovaPadovaHellas VeronaPisaPadovaUdinesePadovaMonzaPadovaCittadellaPadovaSassuoloPadovaCesenaPadovaPadovaPescaraVirtus EntellaPadovaVirtus EntellaMantovaPadovaVirtus EntellaVirtus EntellaJuve StabiaCremoneseVirtus EntellaPisaVirtus EntellaVirtus EntellaVicenzaVirtus EntellaCesenaSudtirolVirtus EntellaHellas VeronaVirtus EntellaVirtus EntellaCarrareseVirtus EntellaNovaraEmpoliVirtus EntellaVirtus EntellaCarrareseBariVirtus EntellaVirtus EntellaPadova- 22A. SorrentinoG
- 14M. PompettiM
- 90G. ArtisticoF
- 21E. ZuelliM
- 15K. LasagnaF
- 5M. LovatoD
- 24L. CarissoniM
- 27Alessandro DellavalleD
- 6G. GiuntiM
- 34M. CocchiM
- 58C. PastinaD
- 8P. Fusi
- 7K. Varas
- 25N. Galazzi
- 23F. Di Mariano
- 32F. Sgarbi
- 9L. Moro
- 17A. Capelli
- 1L. Mouquet
- 11A. Seghetti
- 18E. Silletti
- 74D. Marcolini
- 20M. Bortolussi
- 22F. Del FrateG
- 5N. SquizzatoM
- 23L. ParodiD
- 24A. FranzoniM
- 17M. TirelliF
- 27M. AlborghettiD
- 6A. TiritielloD
- 10L. CupponeF
- 18T. AnnoniM
- 94F. MezzoniM
- 8L. Vignali
- 55Lucas Felippe
- 91S. Colombi
- 9Giacomo Corona
- 16R. Turicchia
- 39M. Motolese
- 3N. Previtali
- 12E. Torrielli
- 11Bernat Guiu
- 80L. Benedetti
PadovaVirtus EntellaVirtus EntellaPadovaPadovaVirtus EntellaPadovaVirtus EntellaPadovaVirtus Entella| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18:8 | +10 | 22 |
| 2 |  Mantova | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | +6 | 17 |
| 3 |  Modena | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 |  Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | +8 | 15 |
| 5 |  Benevento | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | +6 | 14 |
| 6 |  Pisa | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | +5 | 14 |
| 7 |  Sudtirol | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 |  Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 |  US Avellino 1912 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:9 | +3 | 11 |
| 10 | Padova | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Arezzo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:17 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 |  Hellas Verona | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 15:13 | +2 | 9 |
| 13 | Virtus Entella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | +1 | 9 |
| 14 |  Vicenza | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 |  Cesena | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 |  Empoli | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 |  Carrarese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 |  Cremonese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:20 | -11 | 4 |
Padova vs Virtus Entella Prediction (Oct 17)
Our Padova vs Virtus Entella prediction for October 17, 2026, in Italy's Serie B kicks off at 14:00. Bookmakers see a draw as the most likely result, with Padova holding a slim edge over Virtus Entella to win. Our probability analysis gives Padova a 33% chance of winning, a draw 40%, and Virtus Entella 27%.
Team Form
Padova's last five Serie B matches: W 2-1 vs Ascoli (home), L 1-2 at Palermo, L 1-3 at Cremonese, D 1-1 vs Hellas Verona, and W 1-0 at Pisa. That's two wins, a draw, and two defeats โ mixed form with 5 goals scored and 6 conceded.
Virtus Entella's last five: D 1-1 vs Juve Stabia (home), D0-0 at Cremonese, W4-1 at Pisa, D2-2 vs Vicenza, and L1-2 vs Cesena (home). They have only one win in that run, three draws, and one loss, scoring 8 goals and conceding 7.
Head-to-Head Record
The last four meetings between Padova and Virtus Entella: Padova won 2-1 at home in Serie B (Sep 2025), Virtus Entella won 1-0 at home in Serie B (Apr 2026), Virtus Entella won 1-0 in the Supercoppa Serie C (May 2025), and a 1-1 draw in the Coppa Serie C (Nov 2021). Overall, Virtus Entella leads with 2 wins to Padova's 1, with 1 draw.
League Table Positions
In the Serie B standings, Padova sit 10th with 7 points from 5 games (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Virtus Entella are 12th with 6 points from 6 games (1 win, 3 draws, 2 losses). At home, Padova are unbeaten with a win and a draw in two outings (4 points). Virtus Entella's away form is not in the top 8, but they have drawn their last two road matches 0-0 and 1-1.
Win Probability: Padova or Virtus Entella?
Using bookmaker odds (best: home 2.72, draw2.05, away 3.00) as the baseline and adjusting for home advantage, league position, and recent draws, we calculate the match outcome probabilities: Padova 33%, Draw 40%, Virtus Entella 27%. The draw is the single most likely result, reflecting Virtus Entella's three draws in five games and Padova's solid but not dominant home form.
Odds & Match Prediction
Across three bookmakers, odds for a Padova win range from 2.60 to 2.72, the draw from 2.00 to 2.05, and a Virtus Entella victory sits at 3.00. The short price on the draw underlines how evenly matched these sides are.
Padova vs Virtus Entella prediction: Based on the stats and probabilities, a draw is the most likely outcome. Bettors seeking value may look at the draw odds, while the home win at 2.72 offers a potential edge given Padova's unbeaten home record.
Padova vs Virtus Entella โ FAQ
- Who will win Padova vs Virtus Entella?
- Based on current form and bookmakers' odds, the most likely outcome is a draw, with a 40% probability. Padova has a 33% chance of winning, and Virtus Entella has a 27% chance. So, while Padova is the slight favorite to win the match, a stalemate is the statistical prediction.
- What is the win probability for Padova?
- Padova has a 33% win probability for this clash. This is calculated from the normalised odds (best: home 2.72, draw 2.05, away 3.00) and adjusted for their unbeaten home record and Virtus Entella's recent draw-heavy form.
- When is the Padova vs Virtus Entella match?
- The match is scheduled for October 17, 2026, at 14:00 local time. It will be played at Stadio Euganeo in Padua, as part of Italy's Serie B competition.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The best available odds are 2.72 for a Padova win, 2.00 for a draw, and 3.00 for a Virtus Entella victory. Bookmakers strongly favour the draw outcome, reflecting the tight contest expected.