Nomme United - Paide Linnameeskond prediction 19 September 2026

This Nomme United vs Paide Linnameeskond prediction covers the Meistriliiga match on Sep 19 at 14:00. Based on odds, H2H results, and league table positions, Paide Linnameeskond are the favorites: Nomme United has a 22% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Paide Linnameeskond has a 50% chance. For betting tips, the crucial factors are the one-sided head-to-head record and the 17-point gap between the clubs.

Team Form

Nomme United come into this fixture with a recent form line of L, W, L, W, L. Their last Meistriliiga outing was a 2-3 home defeat to Flora Tallinn on Sep 12. Before that, Nomme United won 1-2 at JK Nomme Kalju on Sep 08 and lost 0-1 at Parnu JK Vaprus on Sep 05. The home side also won a Cup match 3-2 at home against Parnu JK Vaprus on Sep 02.

Paide Linnameeskond have the same L, W, L, W, L sequence across their last five matches. They lost 1-2 at home against Harju JK Laagri on Sep 13, won 0-2 at Tammeka Tartu on Sep 09, and lost 0-2 at home against Levadia Tallinn on Sep 06. On Aug 30, they won 1-2 at Flora Tallinn.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record is the strongest signal in this match. According to the supplied data, Paide Linnameeskond have six wins, while Nomme United have zero wins and zero draws. The five listed recent meetings were all Paide victories: 4-1, 3-2, 3-1, 4-0, and 3-1.

Among those, the two matches played at Nomme United ended 2-3 on May 10, 2026 and 0-4 on Nov 03, 2024. This reduces the home advantage factor for Nomme United.

League Table Positions

Paide Linnameeskond are 4th in the Meistriliiga table with 45 points from 27 matches. They have 13 wins, 6 draws, 8 losses, 43 goals scored and 35 conceded. Nomme United are 8th with 28 points from 28 matches, with 9 wins, 1 draw, 18 losses, 46 goals scored and 65 conceded.

Paide's away record is also solid: 6 wins, 5 draws, 3 losses and 23 points from 14 away games. The 17-point gap between the teams points toward an away win.

Win Probability: Nomme United or Paide Linnameeskond?

Nomme United has a 22% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Paide Linnameeskond has a 50% chance. The raw 1X2 odds, after removing the bookmaker margin, gave a baseline of roughly 23% for Nomme United, 33% for the draw, and 45% for Paide Linnameeskond.

The final adjustment was made because Paide lead the head-to-head 6-0 and are 17 points better in the table. Paide Linnameeskond are therefore the more likely match outcome, but the draw remains the most likely alternative.

Nomme United vs Paide Linnameeskond Prediction & Odds

Bookmakers see Paide Linnameeskond as the favorite. One 1X2 market lists Nomme United at 3.90, the draw at 2.75, and Paide Linnameeskond at 2.00. A second market lists Nomme United at 3.90, the draw at 2.60, and Paide Linnameeskond at 1.95.

Final prediction: based on the stats, Paide Linnameeskond to win is the best betting tip. For this Nomme United vs Paide Linnameeskond prediction, the away win is supported by odds, H2H, and league position. The draw could be considered by cautious bettors, but Nomme United need a major form reversal to win this match.