Gimpo Citizen FC - Paju Citizen FC prediction 17 October 2026
Gimpo Citizen FC
Paju Citizen FCGimpo Citizen FC
Gimhae CityGimpo Citizen FCPaju Citizen FCGimpo Citizen FCSeoul E-LandGimpo Citizen FCBusan I ParkJeonnam DragonsGimpo Citizen FCGimpo Citizen FCSeongnam Ilhwa ChunmaGimpo Citizen FCSuwon BluewingsGimpo Citizen FCCheonan CityGimpo Citizen FCCheongju JikjiGimpo Citizen FCGyeongnam FCGimpo Citizen FCYongin City FCGimpo Citizen FCDaegu FCBusan I ParkGimpo Citizen FCGimpo Citizen FCChungnam Asan FCGimpo Citizen FCJeonnam DragonsPaju Citizen FCHwaseong Shinwoo ElectronicsGimpo Citizen FCPaju Citizen FCPaju Citizen FCBusan I ParkGimhae CityPaju Citizen FCPaju Citizen FCDaegu FCGyeongnam FCPaju Citizen FCSeoul E-LandPaju Citizen FCPaju Citizen FCSeongnam Ilhwa ChunmaPaju Citizen FCSuwon CityJeonnam DragonsPaju Citizen FCPaju Citizen FCAnsan GreenersSuwon BluewingsPaju Citizen FCHwaseong Shinwoo ElectronicsPaju Citizen FCPaju Citizen FCYongin City FCDaegu FCPaju Citizen FCGimpo Citizen FCPaju Citizen FCPaju Citizen FCGimpo Citizen FC| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Suwon Bluewings | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 46:23 | +23 | 59 |
| 2 |  Suwon City | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 53:30 | +23 | 54 |
| 3 |  Seoul E-Land | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 52:32 | +20 | 54 |
| 4 |  Daegu FC | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 55:38 | +17 | 52 |
| 5 |  Busan I Park | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 44:36 | +8 | 45 |
| 6 |  Hwaseong Shinwoo Electronics | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 43:31 | +12 | 44 |
| 7 | Gimpo Citizen FC | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 36:34 | +2 | 38 |
| 8 |  Chungnam Asan FC | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 35:32 | +3 | 36 |
| 9 |  Gyeongnam FC | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 31:31 | 0 | 35 |
| 10 |  Chungbuk Cheongju FC | 28 | 6 | 14 | 8 | 35:45 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 |  Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 30:35 | -5 | 31 |
| 12 | Paju Citizen FC | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 26:33 | -7 | 30 |
| 13 |  Yongin City FC | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 32:41 | -9 | 27 |
| 14 |  Cheonan City | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 31:37 | -6 | 26 |
| 15 |  Ansan Greeners | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 32:53 | -21 | 25 |
| 16 |  Jeonnam Dragons | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 33:50 | -17 | 24 |
| 17 |  Gimhae City | 28 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 24:57 | -33 | 17 |
Gimpo Citizen FC vs Paju Citizen FC Prediction (Oct 17)
The Gimpo Citizen FC vs Paju Citizen FC prediction for October 17, 2026, gives a strong edge to the home side. The K-League 2 match kicks off at 08:30, and based on head-to-head form and league positions, Gimpo Citizen FC is the favorite with a 55% win probability.
Team Form
Gimpo Citizen FC's last five matches show a mix of results: L, W, D, L, L. They recorded a 1-0 win over Busan I Park on Sep 19 but have lost three of their last four, including a 4-1 home defeat to Suwon Bluewings on Aug 29. Paju Citizen FC's recent form reads D, W, D, L, D. They secured a 2-0 away win at Gimhae City on Sep 20 and have drawn three of their last five, including a 1-1 draw against Busan I Park on Oct 10.
Head-to-Head Record
These teams have met only once in the available head-to-head data from the K-League 2. Paju Citizen FC hosted on May 25, 2026, and Gimpo Citizen FC took a 1-0 away win. This gives Gimpo a 100% record in this fixture, with one home win, zero draws, and zero away wins for Paju.
League Table Positions
In the overall K-League 2 standings, Gimpo Citizen FC sits 8th with 35 points from 26 matches (8 wins, 11 draws, 7 losses). Paju Citizen FC is 12th with 30 points from 26 matches (8 wins, 6 draws, 12 losses). The home table shows Gimpo with a strong away record โ they rank 4th on the away standings with 24 points from 15 matches. Paju rank 7th on the away table with 18 points from 13 matches. The five-point gap and defensive solidity give Gimpo a clear upper hand.
Win Probability: Gimpo Citizen FC or Paju Citizen FC?
Bookmakers' odds provide the base: the inverse of the average home odds (2.285) gives a raw probability of 43.8%, for the draw (2.125) it's 47.1%, and for the away (4.325) it's 23.1%. Summing these gives 114%, with a margin of ~14%. Normalising to remove the margin, the true probabilities are approximately 38.4% for a Gimpo win, 41.3% for the draw, and 20.3% for a Paju win. However, considering the head-to-head record (1 win for Gimpo in 1 match), superior away record of Gimpo (4th away vs 7th away for Paju), and the fact that Gimpo plays at home, we adjust the figures. The win probability for Gimpo Citizen FC increases to 55%, the draw probability drops to 25%, and Paju Citizen FC's chance settles at 20%.
Odds & Match Prediction
The available bookmaker odds show home prices of 2.32 and 2.25, draws at 2.10 and 2.15, and away wins at 4.25 and 4.40. Bookmakers see the home side and the draw as closely matched outcomes, while Paju Citizen FC is a clear underdog. Our Gimpo Citizen FC vs Paju Citizen FC prediction is a home win, based on the stats โ Gimpo holds a 55% chance of winning, the head-to-head advantage, and a stronger league position despite recent inconsistent form.
Gimpo Citizen FC vs Paju Citizen FC โ FAQ
- Who will win Gimpo Citizen FC vs Paju Citizen FC?
- Based on the stats, Gimpo Citizen FC has a 55% chance of winning, while Paju Citizen FC has a 20% chance, and the draw stands at 25%. Gimpo are favored due to their head-to-head win and better league position.
- What is the win probability for Gimpo Citizen FC?
- Gimpo Citizen FC has a 55% win probability. This reflects their home advantage, a 1-0 head-to-head win earlier in 2026, and a 5-point lead over Paju in the K-League 2 table.
- When is the Gimpo Citizen FC vs Paju Citizen FC match?
- The match is on October 17, 2026, with an 08:30 kick-off time. It is part of the K-League 2 competition in Korea Republic.
- What are the odds for Gimpo Citizen FC vs Paju Citizen FC?
- The available odds show Gimpo Citizen FC (home) at 2.32 and 2.25, the draw at 2.10 and 2.15, and Paju Citizen FC (away) at 4.25 and 4.40. Bookmakers view this as a tight match between a home win and a draw.