Mantova - Palermo prediction 17 October 2026
Mantova
Palermo
Virtus EntellaMantovaMantovaPalermoCatanzaroMantovaMantovaPisaMantovaSampdoriaCesenaMantovaPalermoMantovaMantovaEmpoliCarrareseMantovaLazioMantovaMantovaCarpiLegnago SalusMantovaMantovaAlcioneFrosinoneMantovaMantovaMonzaPalermoCarrareseMantovaPalermoEmpoliPalermoPalermoPadovaUS Avellino 1912PalermoPalermoSampdoriaPalermoMantovaArezzoPalermoPalermoJuve StabiaPalermoLeccePalermoJuventusMelbourne CityPalermoPalermoIraklis 1908PalermoFC ParadisoPalermoIngolstadt 04- 50F. Benaissa-YahiaM
- 8R. IlieF
- 19F. RuoccoM
- 21S. TrimboliM
- 22F. BardiG
- 29S. CellaD
- 30D. BragantiniM
- 80R. KoudaM
- 5B. TomaลกeviฤD
- 27A. CastelliniD
- 6J. Mboyo
- 10D. Wieser
- 1L. Gemello
- 12M. Gasparini
- 9E. Gliozzi
- 25L. Ignacchiti
- 17N. Radaelli
- 75E. Koลกpo
- 18S. Keita
- 11I. Cajazzo
- 80F. Vesentini
- 84T. CassandroD
- 13M. BaniD
- 3T. AugelloM
- 5A. PalumboM
- 8J. SegreM
- 10F. RanocchiaM
- 32P. CeccaroniD
- 17D. JohnsenM
- 9D. VavassoriM
- 1M. PerinG
- 20J. PohjanpaloF
- 99A. Gabrielloni
- 23Hernani
- 96G. Magnani
- 36L. Mazzitelli
- 11E. Gyasi
- 29P. Peda
- 14M. Fortin
- 33A. Bozzolan
- 12M. Nespola
- 6C. Gomes
- 24N. Estรฉvez
MantovaPalermoPalermoMantovaPalermoMantovaMantovaPalermoPalermoMantovaMantovaPalermo| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18:8 | +10 | 22 |
| 2 | Mantova | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | +6 | 17 |
| 3 |  Modena | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 |  Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | +8 | 15 |
| 5 |  Benevento | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | +6 | 14 |
| 6 |  Pisa | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | +5 | 14 |
| 7 |  Sudtirol | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 |  Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 |  US Avellino 1912 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:9 | +3 | 11 |
| 10 |  Padova | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Arezzo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:17 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 |  Hellas Verona | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 15:13 | +2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Virtus Entella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | +1 | 9 |
| 14 |  Vicenza | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 |  Cesena | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 |  Empoli | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 |  Carrarese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 |  Cremonese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:20 | -11 | 4 |
Palermo vs Mantova Prediction (Sep 03)
Palermo vs Mantova prediction for the Italian Cup match on Sep 03, 2026, at 16:00 UTC. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Palermo enters this match as the favorite with a 55% win probability, while Mantova has a 20% chance and the draw stands at 25%.
Team Form
Palermo comes into this fixture in strong form, having won four of their last five matches across all competitions. Their most recent result was a 3-2 away victory against Arezzo in Serie B on Aug 30. Before that, they secured a 1-0 home win over Juve Stabia and a 2-0 Cup win against Lecce. The only blemish was a 0-2 friendly loss to Juventus. Overall, Palermo has scored 8 goals in these five games and kept two clean sheets.
Mantova also boasts an identical recent record of four wins and one loss in their last five outings. They defeated Empoli 3-1 at home on Aug 30, won 2-1 at Carrarese, and pulled off an impressive 2-0 Cup victory away to Lazio. A 0-1 friendly loss to Carpi interrupts the run, but the team has shown resilience, netting 10 goals in this span. Both sides are in excellent scoring form, which sets up an intriguing contest.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record between these two teams heavily favors Palermo, who are unbeaten in the last four meetings (1 win, 3 draws). The most recent clash on Mar 04, 2026, ended in a 2-1 home win for Palermo in Serie B. Prior encounters include a 1-1 draw in Mantova on Jan 11, 2026, a 2-2 draw in Palermo on Feb 16, 2025, and a goalless stalemate in Mantova on Oct 30, 2024. Mantova has yet to beat Palermo in this period, with three of the four matches seeing both teams score.
Win Probability: Palermo or Mantova?
After analyzing all available data, we assign the following win probabilities: Palermo 55%, draw 25%, Mantova 20%. These figures are derived from the bookmaker odds, which imply a Palermo win chance of around 57% after removing the margin, but we have slightly adjusted downward due to the neutral-venue factor (the match is played at Mantovaโs Stadio Danilo Martelli) and the fact that both teams share identical recent form. The head-to-head edge and overall squad strength still make Palermo the clear favorite, but the high frequency of draws in past meetings (3 of 4) justifies a solid 25% probability for the stalemate. Mantovaโs 20% reflects their underdog status despite home-venue familiarity.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers across the board see Palermo as the team most likely to win. The best available odds for a home victory range from 1.60 to 1.67, while the draw is priced between 2.28 and 3.94, and an away win for Mantova sits at 4.40 to 5.00. These odds indicate a clear favorite, but the wide draw odds suggest some uncertainty. Based on the stats, our prediction is a Palermo win, though a draw cannot be ruled out given the history. A 2-1 scoreline in favor of Palermo is a plausible outcome, mirroring their last meeting.
Palermo vs Mantova โ FAQ
- Who will win Palermo vs Mantova?
- Palermo is the most likely winner with a 55% probability. The draw has a 25% chance, while Mantovaโs win probability is 20%. These percentages are based on odds, recent form, and head-to-head data.
- What is the win probability for Palermo?
- Palermo has a 55% chance to win this match. This is derived from bookmaker odds (implied ~57%) adjusted for the neutral venue and both teamsโ identical recent form, while still reflecting Palermoโs unbeaten head-to-head record.
- When is the Palermo vs Mantova match?
- The match is scheduled for Sep 03, 2026, at 16:00 UTC. It is an Italian Cup fixture and will be played at the Stadio Danilo Martelli in Mantova.
- What are the odds for Palermo vs Mantova?
- The best available odds are approximately 1.60โ1.67 for a Palermo win, 2.28โ3.94 for the draw, and 4.40โ5.00 for a Mantova victory. These prices come from multiple bookmakers and reflect Palermoโs favorite status.
- What is the head-to-head record between Palermo and Mantova?
- In the last four meetings, Palermo has 1 win and 3 draws, remaining unbeaten. The most recent match on Mar 04, 2026, ended 2-1 to Palermo. Three of the four games saw both teams score.