Tajikistan - Palestine prediction 28 September 2026

The Tajikistan vs Palestine prediction for this Friendly International match on September 28, 2026, at 13:00 points towards a closely contested affair. Based on the latest odds and recent form, Palestine enters as a slight favorite with a 38% win probability, while Tajikistan has a 33% chance and the draw sits at 29%.

Team Form

Tajikistan's recent form shows inconsistency, with results reading L, D, W, D, W in their last five matches. They suffered a 1-0 away loss to Azerbaijan on Sep 23, drew 1-1 at home with India on Jun 9, and beat India 3-1 at home on Jun 5. A 1-1 home draw with Philippines and a 5-0 away win over Timor-Leste complete their recent run.

Palestine has drawn all of their last five matches: D, D, D, D, D. They played a 2-2 home draw with New Zealand on Sep 24, followed by back-to-back 0-0 away draws against Kyrgyzstan on Jun 9 and Jun 6. Earlier, they drew 1-1 at home with Saudi Arabia and 0-0 away to Syria.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these sides spans 5 meetings. Palestine holds a slight edge with 2 wins to Tajikistan's 1, alongside 4 draws. The most recent encounter on Oct 4, 2018, saw Palestine secure a 2-0 away victory. The four other matches, all played in October 2018, ended in 0-0 draws.

League Table Positions

As this is a Friendly International, no league table positions or points are available for either Tajikistan or Palestine.

Win Probability: Tajikistan or Palestine?

After analyzing the data, the win probabilities are: Tajikistan win 33%, draw 29%, Palestine win 38%. This calculation is based on the inverse of the best available odds (3.40 for Tajikistan, 2.00 for the draw, 2.60 for Palestine), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin. Palestine's superior head-to-head record (2 wins to 1) and Tajikistan's recent home loss slightly adjust the probabilities in Palestine's favor, despite their string of five consecutive draws. Tajikistan's home advantage is factored in, but Palestine is more likely to win based on the stats.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a tight match. The best odds available are 3.40 for a Tajikistan win, 2.00 for a draw, and 2.60 for a Palestine win. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a narrow win for Palestine, though a draw is a very strong possibility given both teams' recent form. Our Tajikistan vs Palestine prediction is a low-scoring affair, with Palestine having the edge.