Atletico Paranaense PR - Palmeiras SP prediction 17 October 2026
Atletico Paranaense PR
Palmeiras SP
Vitoria BAAtletico Paranaense PRAtletico Paranaense PRPalmeiras SPChapecoense SCAtletico Paranaense PRAtletico Paranaense PRAtletico Mineiro MGAtletico Paranaense PRBahia BACoritiba PRAtletico Paranaense PRCruzeiro MGAtletico Paranaense PRAtletico Paranaense PRFluminense RJBotafogo RJAtletico Paranaense PRAtletico Paranaense PRRed Bull Bragantino SPSantos SPAtletico Paranaense PRVitoria BAAtletico Paranaense PRAtletico Paranaense PRVitoria BACorinthians SPAtletico Paranaense PRAtletico Paranaense PRInternacional RSPalmeiras SPRed Bull Bragantino SPPalmeiras SPFluminense RJAtletico Paranaense PRPalmeiras SPFluminense RJPalmeiras SPPalmeiras SPCorinthians SPPalmeiras SPBahia BAGremio RSPalmeiras SPLDU QuitoPalmeiras SPPalmeiras SPSao Paulo SPPalmeiras SPLDU QuitoBotafogo RJPalmeiras SPSantos SPPalmeiras SPMirassol SPPalmeiras SPPalmeiras SPSantos SPPalmeiras SPVasco da Gama RJ- 16JรกdsonM
- 12GilbertoM
- 9K. ViverosF
- 5FelipinhoD
- 14Luiz GustavoM
- 7S. MendozaM
- 1MycaelG
- 33J. AguirreD
- 21LeozinhoM
- 8Joรฃo CruzM
- 4Arthur DiasD
- 23Santos
- 27J. Portilla
- 10B. Zapelli
- 70Renan
- 19Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto
- 53Dudu
- 47Chiqueti
- 63Diogo Riquelme
- 26Claudinho
- 3Lรฉo
- 26MuriloD
- 12KhellvenM
- 1Carlos MiguelG
- 3Bruno FuchsD
- 18MaurรญcioM
- 19R. SosaM
- 30Lucas EvangelistaM
- 42J. LรณpezF
- 22J. PiquerezM
- 2A. BarbozaD
- 8Andreas PereiraM
- 14Marcelo Lomba
- 11J. Arias
- 32E. Martรญnez
- 7Felipe Anderson
- 43Benedetti
- 56Arthur
- 45Erick Machado
- 50Luis Felipe
- 48Larson
- 39Heittor
- 17Marlon Freitas
- 10Paulinho
Atletico Paranaense PRPalmeiras SPPalmeiras SPAtletico Paranaense PRPalmeiras SPAtletico Paranaense PRAtletico Paranaense PRPalmeiras SPAtletico Paranaense PRPalmeiras SPPalmeiras SPAtletico Paranaense PRPalmeiras SPAtletico Paranaense PRAtletico Paranaense PRPalmeiras SPAtletico Paranaense PRPalmeiras SPPalmeiras SPAtletico Paranaense PRAtletico Paranaense PRPalmeiras SPPalmeiras SPAtletico Paranaense PRPalmeiras SPAtletico Paranaense PRPalmeiras SPAtletico Paranaense PRAtletico Paranaense PRPalmeiras SPAtletico Paranaense PRPalmeiras SPAtletico Paranaense PRPalmeiras SPAtletico Paranaense PRPalmeiras SPPalmeiras SPAtletico Paranaense PRPalmeiras SPAtletico Paranaense PRPalmeiras SPAtletico Paranaense PRAtletico Paranaense PRPalmeiras SPAtletico Paranaense PRPalmeiras SPAtletico Paranaense PRPalmeiras SPAtletico Paranaense PRPalmeiras SPAtletico Paranaense PRPalmeiras SPPalmeiras SPAtletico Paranaense PR| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras SP | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 56:22 | +34 | 69 |
| 2 |  Flamengo RJ | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 61:25 | +36 | 67 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro MG | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 51:46 | +5 | 54 |
| 4 | Atletico Paranaense PR | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 50:38 | +12 | 54 |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 50:41 | +9 | 51 |
| 6 |  Atletico Mineiro MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | +7 | 50 |
| 7 |  Bahia BA | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 45:40 | +5 | 50 |
| 8 |  Santos | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 49:47 | +2 | 46 |
| 9 |  Sao Paulo SP | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 37:36 | +1 | 43 |
| 10 |  Red Bull Bragantino SP | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39:38 | +1 | 41 |
| 11 |  Botafogo RJ | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 44:51 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba PR | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 38:49 | -11 | 39 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 39:45 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |  Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 |  Mirassol SP | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 37:45 | -8 | 37 |
| 16 |  Internacional RS | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 17 |  Corinthians SP | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:42 | -8 | 33 |
| 18 |  Gremio RS | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo PA | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 26 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 32:63 | -31 | 21 |
Atletico Paranaense PR vs Palmeiras SP Prediction (Oct 17)
This Atletico Paranaense PR vs Palmeiras SP prediction covers the Brazil Serie A match on Oct 17 at 23:30 at Ligga Arena in Curitiba. Palmeiras SP are narrowly more likely to win than Atletico Paranaense PR, but the draw is the single most probable outcome based on the stats.
Atletico Paranaense PR vs Palmeiras SP Prediction
Bookmakers have priced the draw as the shortest option, and the calculated win probability is Atletico Paranaense PR 29%, draw 39%, and Palmeiras SP 32%.
Team Form
Atletico Paranaense PR have only one win in their last five matches: D, W, D, L, D. They drew 2-2 with Atletico Mineiro MG and 3-3 with Fluminense RJ at home, beat Bahia BA 2-1, and lost 3-1 away to Cruzeiro MG.
Palmeiras SP come into this match with three wins in their last five across all competitions: W, W, D, L, W. They beat Corinthians SP 4-1 and Sao Paulo SP 2-0 at home, drew 0-0 at Gremio RS, and lost 3-2 away to LDU Quito in the Copa Libertadores.
Head-to-Head Record
Palmeiras SP lead the overall head-to-head with 13 wins to Atletico Paranaense PR's 6, along with 7 draws.
- Apr 19, 2026: Palmeiras SP 1-0 Atletico Paranaense PR
- Nov 5, 2023: Palmeiras SP 1-0 Atletico Paranaense PR
- Jul 2, 2023: Atletico Paranaense PR 2-2 Palmeiras SP
- Oct 26, 2022: Atletico Paranaense PR 1-3 Palmeiras SP
- Sep 7, 2022: Palmeiras SP 2-2 Atletico Paranaense PR (Copa Libertadores)
League Table Positions
Palmeiras SP are 2nd in Serie A with 63 points from 30 matches, while Atletico Paranaense PR are 4th with 50 points from 29 matches. At home, Atletico Paranaense PR have 32 points from 15 games, and Palmeiras SP have 27 points from 15 away games.
Win Probability: Atletico Paranaense PR or Palmeiras SP?
Using the bookmaker odds as a base and adjusting for form, league position, and head-to-head, the outcome probabilities are:
- Atletico Paranaense PR win: 29%
- Draw: 39%
- Palmeiras SP win: 32%
Palmeiras SP have the stronger recent form and a dominant head-to-head record, but Atletico Paranaense PR are hard to beat at Ligga Arena with only one home league defeat all season. The draw is the single most likely result, while Palmeiras SP are slightly more likely than Atletico Paranaense PR to take all three points.
Odds & Match Prediction
Odds from the selected 1X2 market range from 2.80 to 3.05 for an Atletico Paranaense PR win, 2.08 to 2.20 for the draw, and 2.60 to 3.00 for a Palmeiras SP win. Based on the stats, the draw is the standout betting tip in the 1X2 market. If a winner emerges, Palmeiras SP look marginally more likely than Atletico Paranaense PR.
Atletico Paranaense PR vs Palmeiras SP โ FAQ
- Who will win Atletico Paranaense PR vs Palmeiras SP?
- Atletico Paranaense PR has a 29% chance of winning, a draw is at 39%, and Palmeiras SP has a 32% chance. Palmeiras SP are narrowly the more likely team winner, but the draw is the single most probable outcome.
- What is the win probability for Palmeiras SP?
- Palmeiras SP have a 32% chance of winning this match. That is slightly higher than Atletico Paranaense PR's 29% chance, based on the odds, recent form, and head-to-head record.
- When is the Atletico Paranaense PR vs Palmeiras SP match?
- The match is on Oct 17 at 23:30 at Ligga Arena in Curitiba. It is a Brazil Serie A fixture.
- What are the odds for Atletico Paranaense PR vs Palmeiras SP?
- From the 1X2 market, the odds range from 2.80 to 3.05 for an Atletico Paranaense PR win, 2.08 to 2.20 for the draw, and 2.60 to 3.00 for a Palmeiras SP win.
- What is the head-to-head record between Atletico Paranaense PR and Palmeiras SP?
- Palmeiras SP lead with 13 wins, Atletico Paranaense PR have 6 wins, and there have been 7 draws. The most recent meeting was a 1-0 Palmeiras SP win on Apr 19, 2026.