Santos SP - Palmeiras SP prediction 28 October 2026
Santos SP
Palmeiras SPSantos SP
Bahia BAFluminense RJSantos SPAtletico Mineiro MGSantos SPSantos SPFlamengo RJSao Paulo SPSantos SPRemo PASantos SPAtletico Mineiro MGSantos SPSantos SPCruzeiro MGSantos SPAtletico Mineiro MGInternacional RSSantos SPSantos SPPalmeiras SPCorinthians SPSantos SPPalmeiras SPSantos SPSantos SPMirassol SPMacaraSantos SPPalmeiras SPRed Bull Bragantino SPPalmeiras SPFluminense RJAtletico Paranaense PRPalmeiras SPFluminense RJPalmeiras SPPalmeiras SPCorinthians SPPalmeiras SPBahia BAGremio RSPalmeiras SPLDU QuitoPalmeiras SPPalmeiras SPSao Paulo SPPalmeiras SPLDU QuitoBotafogo RJPalmeiras SPSantos SPPalmeiras SPMirassol SPPalmeiras SPPalmeiras SPSantos SPPalmeiras SPVasco da Gama RJ| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.30 | 2.20 | 2.62 | |
| 3.10 | 2.20 | 2.60 | |
| 3.35 | 2.12 | 2.52 | |
| 3.20 | 2.20 | 2.50 | |
| 3.27 | 2.30 | 2.28 | |
| 2.90 | 2.25 | 2.10 |
Santos SPPalmeiras SPPalmeiras SPSantos SPPalmeiras SPSantos SPPalmeiras SPSantos SPSantos SPPalmeiras SPPalmeiras SPSantos SPSantos SPPalmeiras SPPalmeiras SPSantos SPPalmeiras SPSantos SPSantos SPPalmeiras SPPalmeiras SPSantos SPPalmeiras SPSantos SPPalmeiras SPSantos SPSantos SPPalmeiras SPSantos SPPalmeiras SPSantos SPPalmeiras SPPalmeiras SPSantos SPPalmeiras SPSantos SPPalmeiras SPSantos SPSantos SPPalmeiras SPSantos SPPalmeiras SPSantos SPPalmeiras SPSantos SPPalmeiras SPSantos SPPalmeiras SPSantos SPPalmeiras SPPalmeiras SPSantos SPPalmeiras SPSantos SPPalmeiras SPSantos SPSantos SPPalmeiras SPSantos SPPalmeiras SPPalmeiras SPSantos SPPalmeiras SPSantos SPSantos SPPalmeiras SPSantos SPPalmeiras SPSantos SPPalmeiras SPSantos SPPalmeiras SP| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras SP | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 56:22 | +34 | 69 |
| 2 |  Flamengo RJ | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 61:25 | +36 | 67 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro MG | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 51:46 | +5 | 54 |
| 4 |  Atletico Paranaense PR | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 50:38 | +12 | 54 |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 50:41 | +9 | 51 |
| 6 |  Atletico Mineiro MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | +7 | 50 |
| 7 |  Bahia BA | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 45:40 | +5 | 50 |
| 8 |  Santos | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 49:47 | +2 | 46 |
| 9 |  Sao Paulo SP | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 37:36 | +1 | 43 |
| 10 |  Red Bull Bragantino SP | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39:38 | +1 | 41 |
| 11 |  Botafogo RJ | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 44:51 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba PR | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 38:49 | -11 | 39 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 39:45 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |  Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 |  Mirassol SP | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 37:45 | -8 | 37 |
| 16 |  Internacional RS | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 17 |  Corinthians SP | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:42 | -8 | 33 |
| 18 |  Gremio RS | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo PA | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 26 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 32:63 | -31 | 21 |
Santos SP vs Palmeiras SP Prediction (Oct 28)
The Santos SP vs Palmeiras SP prediction for October 28, 2026, in Brazil's Serie A sees league leaders Palmeiras SP as the favorite with a 45% win probability, despite playing away from home. Based on the stats, Palmeiras have the edge in form and standing, but Santos's home advantage and recent head-to-head record in Serie A make this a tightly contested derby.
Team Form
Santos SP come into this match with mixed form, recording two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches (D, W, L, D, W). Their most recent outing was a 1-1 home draw against Bahia BA on Oct 25. Palmeiras SP have been more consistent, winning four of their last five (W, L, W, W, W), including a convincing 2-0 home win against Red Bull Bragantino SP on Oct 24.
Head-to-Head Record
In the last 36 meetings between these sides, Palmeiras SP hold the advantage with 15 wins to Santos SP's 11, alongside 10 draws. Recent encounters have been tight: the last Serie A clash on May 2, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw at Palmeiras, while Santos won the previous league meeting 1-0 at home on Nov 16, 2025. The most recent match overall was a 0-0 draw in the Cup on Sep 3, 2026.
League Table Positions
Palmeiras SP sit top of Serie A with 69 points from 32 matches (20 wins, 9 draws, 3 losses) and a goal difference of +34. Santos SP are in 8th place with 46 points (12 wins, 10 draws, 10 losses) and a goal difference of +2. Away from home, Palmeiras are 2nd in the league with 30 points from 16 games; at home, Santos rank 6th with 22 points from 16 matches, highlighting a narrow gap when considering venue.
Win Probability: Santos SP or Palmeiras SP?
After analyzing odds, form, H2H, and league positions: Santos SP has a 32% chance of winning, the draw has a 23% probability, and Palmeiras SP has a 45% chance. The total equals 100%. Bookmaker odds imply a tight match, but Palmeiras's superior league record (1st vs 8th) and strong away form (8W-6D-2L) give them the highest probability. Santos's recent home H2H win and Palmeiras's one loss in their last five prevent a higher percentage for the away side.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers offer varied odds for this match: home win around 2.50 to 3.00, draw between 2.10 and 3.50, and away win from 2.62 to 2.90. These odds reflect the competitive nature of this derby. Based on the stats, Palmeiras SP are more likely to win, but a draw cannot be ruled out given four of the last five H2H meetings have seen under 2.5 goals. Our final Santos SP vs Palmeiras SP prediction: an away win or draw, with total goals likely under 2.5.
Santos SP vs Palmeiras SP โ FAQ
- Who will win Santos SP vs Palmeiras SP?
- Based on the stats, Palmeiras SP are more likely to win with a 45% chance. Santos SP have a 32% chance, and the draw is at 23%. Palmeiras's top spot in Serie A and strong away record give them the edge.
- What is the win probability for Palmeiras SP?
- Palmeiras SP have a 45% probability of winning this match. This is calculated from bookmaker odds and adjusted for their league position (1st with 69 points) and recent form of four wins in five matches.
- When is the Santos SP vs Palmeiras SP match?
- The match is on October 28, 2026, at 22:30 UTC. It is a Serie A fixture in Brazil and will be played at Estรกdio Urbano Caldeira in Santos.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Prematch odds show home win between 2.50 and 3.00, draw between 2.10 and 3.50, and away win between 2.62 and 2.90. Bookmakers see this as a close contest with no strong favorite.