Papua New Guinea Women - Solomon Islands Women prediction 29 September 2026

Papua New Guinea Women vs Solomon Islands Women prediction for the Friendly International Women match on Sep 29, 2026, at 05:00. Based on the latest odds and team form, Papua New Guinea Women are the clear favorites with a 58% win probability, while Solomon Islands Women have just a 15% chance of causing an upset.

Team Form

Papua New Guinea Women

Papua New Guinea Women have been in excellent form, winning four of their last five matches. Their recent results include a 2-0 victory over Vanuatu Women on Sep 26, a 4-1 away win against New Caledonia Women on Sep 20, and a 4-0 away win over Fiji Women on Sep 17. The only defeat in this run was a narrow 0-1 loss to New Zealand Women on Apr 15. They also beat Fiji Women 1-0 at home on Mar 8. The team has scored 11 goals in these five games, conceding just 2, showing both attacking strength and defensive solidity.

Solomon Islands Women

Solomon Islands Women have had mixed results, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five outings. They secured back-to-back 1-0 away wins against New Caledonia Women on Sep 26 and Fiji Women on Sep 23. Before that, they drew 1-1 at home with Vanuatu Women on Sep 17. However, they suffered a 1-2 away loss to Samoa Women on Mar 5 and a heavy 0-8 defeat to New Zealand Women on Mar 2. Overall, they have scored 4 goals and conceded 11 in these matches, indicating defensive vulnerabilities against stronger opponents.

Head-to-Head Record

There are no previous head-to-head meetings between Papua New Guinea Women and Solomon Islands Women in our database. This will be the first encounter between the two sides.

Win Probability: Papua New Guinea Women or Solomon Islands Women?

After analyzing the odds, team form, and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• Papua New Guinea Women win: 58%
• Draw: 27%
• Solomon Islands Women win: 15%

The probabilities are derived from the average bookmaker odds (home win ~1.67, draw ~3.06, away win ~6.02), which implied a 54.8% home win chance after removing the margin. We then adjusted for Papua New Guinea Women's superior recent form (four wins in five) and home advantage, raising their probability to 58%. Solomon Islands Women's inconsistent form and heavy defeat to New Zealand reduce their chances. A draw is possible but less likely given the home side's momentum.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for the match (1X2 market) show a clear favorite. The best home win odds are as low as 1.36, with other bookies offering 1.80 and 1.85. Draw odds range from 2.55 to 4.00, while away win odds are high, from 4.80 to 7.50. These odds reflect the expectation that Papua New Guinea Women will dominate.

Based on the stats, our prediction is a home win for Papua New Guinea Women. The team's strong attack and solid defense, combined with Solomon Islands Women's struggles against top teams, point to a comfortable victory. For betting tips, the home win offers value at odds around 1.80, while the under 2.5 goals market might be considered given Solomon Islands Women's low scoring output. A correct score prediction of 2-0 or 3-0 is plausible, but we stick to the 1X2 market: Papua New Guinea Women to win.