Parma Calcio Women - Ternana Women prediction 3 October 2026

Parma Calcio Women vs Ternana Women prediction for the Serie A Women match on Oct 3, 2026, at 11:30. Based on our analysis of odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Parma Calcio Women have a 40% chance of winning, while the draw is at 37% and Ternana Women have a 23% chance. The bookmakers see this as a tight contest with the home side slightly favored.

Team Form

Parma Calcio Women's recent form shows inconsistency. In their last five matches across all competitions, they have recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses. Their most recent Serie A outing was a 0-0 draw away at Lazio Women on Sep 26. Prior to that, they suffered a 4-2 friendly loss to Hellas Verona Women, followed by two friendly wins against Wacker Innsbruck Women (8-1) and Lumezzane Women (2-0). Their last competitive home game was a 1-3 defeat to Juventus Women in May. Overall, they have struggled for consistency in the league.

Ternana Women have also had mixed results, with one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches. They lost 1-2 at home to FC Como Women in their most recent Serie A fixture on Sep 27. In friendlies, they drew 2-2 with Frosinone Women and lost 1-3 to As Roma Women. Their last league win was a 1-0 home victory over Milan Women on May 17, but they then lost 0-2 to Lazio Women. Away from home in the league, they have yet to play this season.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Parma Calcio Women and Ternana Women spans three previous meetings. Parma have won once, with two draws, and Ternana are yet to register a win. The most recent clash on Apr 4, 2026, saw Parma secure a 2-0 home victory. Earlier, on Nov 22, 2025, the teams played out a 0-0 draw at Ternana, and on May 11, 2025, they drew 0-0 again in Serie B Women. This history suggests low-scoring encounters and a slight edge for Parma.

League Table Positions

As of the early stages of the 2026/27 Serie A Women season, Parma Calcio Women sit 7th with 1 point from one match (a 0-0 draw). Ternana Women are 8th with 0 points after a 1-2 home loss to FC Como Women. The table is still taking shape, but Parma's point and away draw give them a marginal advantage in the standings.

Win Probability: Parma Calcio Women or Ternana Women?

Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Parma Calcio Women win – 40%, Draw – 37%, Ternana Women win – 23%. The bookmakers' odds (averaged) imply a very close match, with the draw initially the most likely outcome. However, adjusting for Parma's unbeaten H2H record (1W, 2D), their home advantage, and slightly better recent league form, we give Parma a narrow edge. Ternana Women's chances are limited by their poor H2H record and away form. Therefore, Parma Calcio Women are the more likely winners, but a draw remains a strong possibility.

Parma Calcio Women vs Ternana Women Prediction & Odds

Bookmakers have priced this match closely. For example, one bookmaker offers odds of 2.52 for a Parma Calcio Women win, 2.00 for a draw, and 4.15 for a Ternana Women victory. These odds reflect the competitive nature of the fixture. Our prediction: based on the stats, Parma Calcio Women are expected to avoid defeat. A home win or draw double chance could be a sensible betting tip. Given the low-scoring history (two 0-0 draws in three H2H meetings), under 2.5 total goals might also be worth considering.