Pazarspor - Aliaga Futbol prediction 27 October 2026

This Pazarspor vs Aliaga Futbol prediction covers the Cup match in Turkey on Oct 27, 2026 at 10:30. Based on the odds, recent form, and head-to-head record, Aliaga Futbol are the favorite with a 45% win probability. Pazarspor have home advantage but are rated at 25%, with the draw at 30%.

Team Form

Pazarspor come into this Cup tie with a strong recent home sequence: W, W, D, W, D. That form includes three wins and two draws across their last five matches. In their last home matches, they beat Tokat Belediye Plevnespor 1-0 on Oct 18, 2026, beat Erbaaspor 3-1 in the Cup on Oct 7, 2026, and drew 3-3 with Zonguldakspor Komuspor on Apr 5, 2026. They also drew 0-0 away at Galata SK and won 1-0 away at Karabukspor.

Aliaga Futbol, meanwhile, have won their last five matches in all competitions: W, W, W, W, W. Their recent away wins include 2-1 at Somaspor on Oct 18 and 4-2 at Erbaaspor on Oct 3. At home they beat 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 2-1, Menemen Belediyespor 1-0, and Sanliurfaspor 2-1. Aliaga have scored at least one goal in each of those five wins and scored two or more in four of them.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met twice in recent seasons. Aliaga Futbol hold the edge with one win and one draw. Pazarspor have not beaten Aliaga in the head-to-head. On Apr 2, 2025, Pazarspor lost 0-1 at home in 3 Lig. Earlier, on Oct 13, 2024, Aliaga Futbol hosted Pazarspor and the match ended 0-0. Overall H2H record: Pazarspor 0 wins, Aliaga Futbol 1 win, 1 draw.

Win Probability: Pazarspor vs Aliaga Futbol?

Based on the available odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and home/away factor, the calculated win probability for this Cup match is: Pazarspor 25%, draw 30%, Aliaga Futbol 45%. The total equals 100%. Aliaga Futbol are the more likely winner.

The base from normalized bookmaker odds across five listed 1X2 markets was roughly 27% for Pazarspor, 32% for the draw, and 42% for Aliaga Futbol. The final model shifts slightly toward Aliaga because of their five-match winning run and head-to-head edge. Pazarspor's home strength keeps this match competitive, but the away side has the stronger profile.

• Pazarspor win: 25%
• Draw: 30%
• Aliaga Futbol win: 45%

Who will win? Bookmakers and the probability model both point to Aliaga Futbol. Their five straight wins and H2H edge outweigh Pazarspor's home record.

Odds & Match Prediction

The prematch 1X2 odds show several bookmaker lines. The home win odds for Pazarspor range from 3.00 to 3.63, draw odds from 2.40 to 3.94, and Aliaga Futbol away win odds from 1.82 to 2.50. For example, one listed line is 3.55 for Pazarspor, 3.45 for the draw, and 1.82 for Aliaga Futbol. Bookmakers see Aliaga Futbol as the favorite in the majority of listed markets.

Match prediction: Aliaga Futbol to win. The away team's perfect recent form and H2H edge make them the stronger pick. A draw is a live result given Pazarspor's two draws in their last five. Pazarspor's best chance is to hold home form and take a point, but an away win is the most likely outcome based on the stats.

For betting tips, the most consistent angle is Aliaga Futbol to win at odds around 1.82–2.50. The draw also has support in the 2.40–3.94 range, reflecting Pazarspor's two draws in their last five. However, based on the stats, an away win is the strongest match outcome.