Pazarspor - Erbaaspor prediction 7 October 2026

The Pazarspor vs Erbaaspor prediction for this Turkish Cup clash on Oct 7 at 12:00 sees Erbaaspor as the favorite with a 47% win probability. Pazarspor enters with a 28% chance, while the draw sits at 25%, based on odds, recent form, and league tier differences.

Team Form

Pazarspor's last five matches show a pattern of draws: D, W, D, L, D. Their most recent result was a 0-0 stalemate away at Galata SK on Sep 6 in the 3 Lig. Over the five-game stretch, they managed just one win, scoring 4 goals and conceding 4. Erbaaspor's form reads L, W, W, L, L. They suffered a heavy 2-4 home loss to Aliaga Futbol on Oct 3 in the 2 Lig, but before that secured back-to-back wins, including an impressive 3-0 away victory at Adana Demirspor. Erbaaspor plays in a higher division (2 Lig vs 3 Lig), which often translates to a quality gap.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no recorded head-to-head history between Pazarspor and Erbaaspor. The H2H record stands at 0 home wins, 0 draws, and 0 away wins, making this their first competitive meeting.

League Table Positions

Specific league table positions and points are not available in the data. However, the competition is the Turkish Cup, and the teams compete in different leagues: Pazarspor in the 3 Lig (fourth tier) and Erbaaspor in the 2 Lig (third tier). This divisional difference suggests Erbaaspor regularly faces stronger opposition.

Win Probability: Pazarspor or Erbaaspor?

Based on the available odds, form, and league context, the win probabilities are calculated as follows: Erbaaspor has a 47% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Pazarspor has a 28% chance. The calculation starts with the inverse of the bookmaker odds (home 4.33, draw 2.50, away 2.05), normalized to remove the margin. Erbaaspor's higher league status and superior recent wins (including a 3-0 away result) justify their favorite tag, while Pazarspor's draw-heavy form and home advantage keep them competitive. Erbaaspor is more likely to win, but a tight cup tie is expected.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' 1X2 odds are: Pazarspor win at 4.33, a draw at 2.50, and an Erbaaspor win at 2.05. These odds clearly point to Erbaaspor as the favorite. Based on the stats, the most probable outcome is an away win, but Pazarspor's resilience at home—with three draws in their last five—means the draw is a real possibility. Our prediction: Erbaaspor to win, but with caution given the cup setting and lack of H2H data.