PEC Zwolle Women - VV Heerenveen Women prediction 4 October 2026

The PEC Zwolle Women vs VV Heerenveen Women prediction for March 15, 2026, in the Eredivisie Women points to a home advantage. Based on our analysis, PEC Zwolle Women has a 45% chance to win, while the draw stands at 30% and VV Heerenveen Women at 25%.

Team Form

PEC Zwolle Women come into this match with inconsistent form: L, W, L, W, L in their last five. They suffered a 3-0 loss to ADO Den Haag Women, beat Telstar Women 3-2, lost 3-2 to Twente Women, thrashed SBV Excelsior/Barendrecht Rotterdam Women 4-1, and lost 3-0 to Utrecht Women. That's two wins and three defeats, showing vulnerability.

VV Heerenveen Women have been worse, with L, L, W, L, L. They lost 3-1 to Ajax Women, 5-1 to Utrecht Women, beat AZ Alkmaar Women 5-1, lost 1-0 to PSV Eindhoven Women, and lost 2-1 to Telstar Women. Only one win in five, and heavy defeats suggest defensive issues.

Head-to-Head Record

Historically, VV Heerenveen Women lead the H2H with 20 wins to PEC Zwolle Women's 8, plus 14 draws. But recent meetings favour the home side. In the last four clashes before this match, PEC Zwolle Women won 1-0 (Nov 2025) and 2-1 (Mar 2025), with two draws: 1-1 (Feb 2025, Cup) and 2-2 (Dec 2024). So PEC Zwolle are unbeaten in four.

League Table Positions

PEC Zwolle Women sit 5th in the Eredivisie Women with 34 points from 21 games (11 wins, 1 draw, 9 losses). At home, they have 19 points from 11 matches (6W, 1D, 4L). VV Heerenveen Women are 7th with 26 points (8W, 2D, 11L). Their away form is not among the top eight, indicating struggles on the road. The gap in points and home advantage clearly favour PEC Zwolle.

Win Probability: PEC Zwolle or VV Heerenveen?

We calculate the probabilities as follows: PEC Zwolle Women win – 45%, Draw – 30%, VV Heerenveen Women win – 25%. The reasoning combines home strength (PEC Zwolle's 6 home wins), better recent form (2 wins vs 1), recent H2H dominance, and a higher league position. However, the overall H2H record and the frequency of draws (14 in 42 games) push the draw probability up. VV Heerenveen's away struggles reduce their chances. Therefore, PEC Zwolle Women are the more likely winners, but a draw is a real possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are available in the data. Based purely on the stats, PEC Zwolle Women are the favourites. Our prediction: PEC Zwolle Women to win, but with caution – a draw could easily occur given the history between these sides. For betting tips, backing PEC Zwolle on the double chance (win or draw) might offer value.