Fatih Karagumruk - Pendikspor prediction 31 October 2026

Oddsfan's Fatih Karagumruk vs Pendikspor prediction for the 1st League clash on October 31, 2026, at 13:00 leans towards the home side. Bookmakers see Fatih Karagumruk as the favorite, and based on head-to-head records, recent form, and the league table, we calculate a 45% win probability for them, a 32% chance for a draw, and a 23% chance for an away victory. Read on for full betting tips, H2H analysis, and the key stats.

Team Form

Fatih Karagumruk head into this match with a mixed recent form of W, L, L, D, W across their last five outings. Highlights include a 2-0 away win at Sariyer on October 24 and a 1-1 home draw against Muglaspor on October 11. However, defeats to Ankara Keciorengucu (1-2) and Mardinspor (0-1) expose some inconsistency at the back.

Pendikspor are struggling on the road with a poor recent form of L, L, L, D, D. They suffered a 0-2 defeat at Bursaspor on October 19, lost 1-2 at home to Vanspor FK, and were beaten 4-1 at Sivasspor. Their only bright spots were draws against Galatasaray (3-3 friendly) and Bodrumspor (1-1). The visitors look short of confidence and have yet to win in their last five competitive matches.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall H2H record over 12 matches shows Fatih Karagumruk with 5 wins, Pendikspor with 4, and 3 draws. The most recent encounter, on May 4, 2025, ended in a 2-0 victory for Pendikspor in this same 1st League fixture. Fatih Karagumruk won the reverse match 0-2 in January 2025, so away form has been decisive in recent meetings. Historically, home advantage hasn't dominated: both teams have traded wins and a draw in the last four meetings across Super League and 1st League.

League Table Positions

Fatih Karagumruk sit 10th in the 1st League table with 16 points from 12 matches (W4 D4 L4), scoring 16 and conceding 15. Their home form isn't captured in the provided home standings data, but they have shown they can be vulnerable at the back. Pendikspor are not listed in the top 12 overall, indicating a lower league position and fewer points. The league table gap reinforces Fatih Karagumruk's status as the team in better shape.

Win Probability: Fatih Karagumruk or Pendikspor?

Outcome probabilities: Fatih Karagumruk win — 45%, Draw — 32%, Pendikspor win — 23%.

This calculation is based on the available bookmaker odds (inverse and normalized to remove margin), adjusted for head-to-head trends, recent form, and the home advantage factor. The odds imply a strong home lean, and the recent away record for Pendikspor (LLLDD) reduces their chances significantly. The draw gets a healthy 32% probability, reflecting Fatih Karagumruk's four draws in 12 league games and Pendikspor's two draws in their last five. Who will win? Fatih Karagumruk have a clear edge, primarily because Pendikspor's away performances have been extremely poor.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds see Fatih Karagumruk at 2.58, the draw at 2.22, and Pendikspor as high as 3.95. The market is pricing the home win as the most likely single outcome, but the tight draw odds show a cautious bookmaker view. Our Fatih Karagumruk vs Pendikspor prediction is: based on the stats, a home win is the most probable result, but a low-scoring draw cannot be ruled out given both teams' recent struggles to find consistent form. Pendikspor's win chances look limited unless they drastically improve their defensive record.