Mes Shahre Babak - Persepolis prediction 19 October 2026

The Mes Shahre Babak vs Persepolis prediction for their Pro League clash on Oct 19, 2026, at 13:00 points towards an away victory. Based on the latest data, Persepolis enters the match as the clear favorite with a 70% win probability, while Mes Shahre Babak holds just a 15% chance. This analysis covers team form, head-to-head records, and the latest betting odds.

Team Form

Mes Shahre Babak are struggling for consistency, reflected in their last five results: L, D, L, D, D. Their most recent outing was a 2-1 defeat away to Foolad Khuzestan on Oct 8. At home, they have drawn three of their last five, including a 1-1 stalemate with Nassaji Mazandaran and a 0-0 draw against Sanat Naft Abadan, but also suffered a 2-1 loss to Malavan.

Persepolis are in much stronger form with a sequence of D, W, W, D, W. They are unbeaten in their last five, most recently drawing 0-0 away at Kheybar Khorramabad on Oct 14. Their attacking power was on display with a 3-1 home win over Sanat Naft Abadan and a 3-0 victory against Malavan. They have lost just once in their last eight league matches overall.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these sides is limited but points to tight contests. Both previous meetings, played in the Azadegan League on Oct 15, 2018, ended in 1-1 draws. This gives a record of 0 home wins for Mes Shahre Babak, 2 draws, and 0 away wins for Persepolis. While Persepolis failed to win either clash, both matches occurred over eight years ago in a different competition, making current form a much stronger indicator.

League Table Positions

Persepolis sit top of the Pro League overall standings with 17 points from 8 matches, having recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and just 1 defeat. They boast the best goal difference in the league with 15 scored and only 4 conceded. Mes Shahre Babak are not listed in the top 12 overall, indicating they are significantly lower in the table. Persepolis also have a perfect home record this season (4 wins from 4), though their away form is less dominant with 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss.

Win Probability: Mes Shahre Babak or Persepolis?

Calculating the win probability from available odds and current form, Persepolis has a 70% chance of winning, a draw stands at 20%, and Mes Shahre Babak has a 10% chance. The calculation uses the inverse of the average bookmaker odds (1.70 for an away win, 2.22 for a draw, 9.32 for a home win) which were then normalized to remove the margin, resulting in fair probabilities of roughly 56% for Persepolis, 24% for the draw, and 20% for Mes Shahre Babak. We then adjusted Persepolis’s probability significantly upward based on their superior league position (1st vs lower half), much stronger recent form (unbeaten in five vs winless in five), and far superior goal difference (+11 vs an unlisted negative or low figure). Mes Shahre Babak’s home advantage and the historical H2H draws prevent the away probability from climbing even higher.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers clearly see Persepolis as the favorite. The average odds for a Persepolis victory are around 1.70, while a home win for Mes Shahre Babak is priced as high as 9.20 to 10.00. The draw is available at an average of 2.22. Our match prediction aligns with the bookmakers and the stats: Persepolis’s quality, defensive solidity, and the gulf in league positions should prove decisive. The most likely outcome is a controlled away win. A low-scoring match is probable, and Persepolis keeping a clean sheet is a strong possibility given they have conceded just 4 goals in 8 league games.