Persebaya Surabaya U20 - Persik Kediri U20 prediction 11 October 2026

The Persebaya Surabaya U20 vs Persik Kediri U20 prediction points firmly toward a home victory when they clash in the Liga 1 U20 on Oct 10 at 08:00. Based on analysis of recent form, head-to-head dominance, and bookmaker odds, Persebaya Surabaya U20 enters as the clear favorite with an estimated 59% win probability, while struggling Persik Kediri U20 faces an uphill battle at just 18%.

Team Form

Persebaya Surabaya U20 has been inconsistent but ultimately carried a threat in recent matches, recording a form line of W, L, W, L, W over their last five outings. Highlights include a 3-1 win over Persis Solo U20 on Apr 26 and a 2-0 victory against PSIM Yogyakarta U20 on Apr 19. Their only defeats in this stretch were tight affairs away to PSM Makassar U20 (2-0, May 2) and a 2-1 home loss to Persis Solo U20 (Apr 25).

Persik Kediri U20, by contrast, is enduring a dreadful run with five straight defeats: L, L, L, L, L. The goals conceded paints an even bleaker picture, shipping 4 goals to PSM Makassar U20 (Oct 3), 5 goals to Persita Tangerang U20 (Feb 15), and 7 goals to Dewa United U20 (Jan 25). They have failed to score in four of those five matches, highlighting a severe crisis at both ends of the pitch.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head history is heavily lopsided. In five previous meetings, Persebaya Surabaya U20 has won 4 times, with 1 draw, and Persik Kediri U20 is yet to record a victory. The most recent encounters in January 2025 saw Persebaya Surabaya U20 win 4-1 (Jan 12) and 3-1 (Jan 11). The only draw came on Oct 8, 2023, when Persik Kediri U20 held them to a 1-1 draw at home. In total, Persebaya Surabaya U20 has scored 15 goals across these fixtures while conceding just 6.

League Table Positions

While exact current table positions are not available in the provided data, the contrasting trajectories are evident. Persebaya Surabaya U20's ability to pick up wins positions them as a competitive side in the Liga 1 U20 standings. Persik Kediri U20's ongoing losing streak suggests they will be firmly rooted near the bottom of the table, struggling for confidence and points.

Win Probability: Persebaya Surabaya U20 or Persik Kediri U20?

We calculate the outcome probabilities by taking the inverse of the averaged bookmaker odds and normalizing to remove the margin, further adjusted by the extreme form disparity and head-to-head record. Persebaya Surabaya U20 has a 59% chance of winning. The draw has a 23% chance of occurring. Persik Kediri U20 has an 18% chance of winning. The home team's superior recent form (W-L-W-L-W against L-L-L-L-L), flawless H2H record (4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses), and home advantage make them the highest-probability winner by a considerable margin.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Persebaya Surabaya U20 as the overwhelming favorite. The available odds illustrate this expectation, with a market low of 1.17 for a home win, alongside longer prices of 1.52 and 1.53. The draw is priced around 3.00 to 7.00, and an away win for Persik Kediri U20 sits between 7.50 and 9.00. After considering all the data, the prediction is a comfortable win for Persebaya Surabaya U20. Persik Kediri U20's form and H2H struggles make an away result highly unlikely.