PSM Makassar - Persita Tangerang prediction 19 September 2026

PSM Makassar vs Persita Tangerang prediction for the Liga 1 match on Sep 19, 2026, at 08:30. Based on current form and statistics, Persita Tangerang enters this match as the favorite with a 40% win probability, while PSM Makassar has a 25% chance and the draw stands at 35%.

Team Form

PSM Makassar are in poor shape, with their last five matches producing one draw and four losses (D, L, L, L, L). The most recent result was a 3-3 home draw against Arema Indonesia on Sep 13. Before that, they suffered defeats to Persib Bandung (3-1), Madura United (2-0), Persib Bandung again (1-2), and Arema Indonesia (3-0). Defensive frailties have been evident, conceding 13 goals in those five games.

Persita Tangerang’s away form in the last five is mixed: W, D, L, D, L. They beat Malut United 3-2 on Sep 13 and drew 1-1 with PSIM Yogyakarta on Sep 5. Earlier results include a 3-1 loss to Persis Solo, a 1-1 draw at Malut United, and a 3-0 defeat at Persijap Jepara. While not spectacular, they have picked up points in two of their last three outings.

Head-to-Head Record

Overall, PSM Makassar lead the head-to-head with 7 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses against Persita Tangerang. However, recent meetings tell a different story. In the last five clashes, Persita have won three times and PSM twice. The most recent encounter on Mar 02, 2026, saw Persita win 4-2 away at PSM Makassar. The previous match on Sep 11, 2025, ended 2-1 to Persita at home. PSM’s last victories came in May 2025 with back-to-back 1-0 home wins.

League Table Positions

Persita Tangerang sit 5th in the Liga 1 standings with 4 points from 2 matches (1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses), scoring 4 goals and conceding 3. PSM Makassar are not in the top 12 of the early table, indicating a slow start. The gap in league positions underlines Persita’s stronger opening to the season.

Win Probability: PSM Makassar or Persita Tangerang?

After analyzing the odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and league standings, we calculate the following win probabilities: PSM Makassar 25%, draw 35%, Persita Tangerang 40%. The bookmakers’ implied odds initially pointed to a draw as the most likely outcome, but PSM’s dreadful form (one point from five games) and Persita’s unbeaten league start shift the balance toward the away side. Home advantage is minimal given PSM’s poor results at their own ground. Therefore, Persita Tangerang is the more probable winner, though a draw remains a strong possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer the following 1X2 odds: home win 2.62, draw 2.02, away win 3.90 (first bookmaker); another lists 2.60, 2.10, 3.70. The low draw odds reflect the expectation of a tight contest. Based on the stats, our prediction leans towards an away win or draw. We recommend a double chance bet on Persita Tangerang or Draw, given their superior form and recent H2H edge.