Macarthur FC - Perth Glory prediction 17 October 2026
Macarthur FC
Perth Glory
Newcastle JetsMacarthur FCMacarthur FCPerth GlorySD Raiders FCMacarthur FCAzzuri United FCMacarthur FCMacarthur FCWellington PhoenixAdelaide UnitedMacarthur FCPerth GloryMacarthur FCMacarthur FCNewcastle JetsAuckland FCMacarthur FCMelbourne VictoryMacarthur FCMacarthur FCCentral Coast MarinersMacarthur FCWestern Sydney WanderersNewcastle JetsMacarthur FCMacarthur FCBangkok UnitedBangkok UnitedMacarthur FCBrisbane RoarPerth GloryMacarthur FCPerth GloryPerth GloryAdelaide UnitedPerth GloryAdelaide UnitedQueensland LionsPerth GloryPerth GloryBrisbane RoarSydney FCPerth GloryPerth GloryMacarthur FCCentral Coast MarinersPerth GloryPerth GloryMelbourne CityWellington PhoenixPerth GloryAuckland FCPerth GloryBrisbane RoarPerth GloryAdelaide UnitedPerth GloryPerth GloryNewcastle JetsMacarthur FCPerth GloryPerth GloryMacarthur FCMacarthur FCPerth GloryMacarthur FCPerth GloryPerth GloryMacarthur FCMacarthur FCPerth GloryMacarthur FCPerth GloryPerth GloryMacarthur FCPerth GloryMacarthur FCMacarthur FCPerth GloryMacarthur FCPerth GloryPerth GloryMacarthur FCPerth GloryMacarthur FCPerth GloryMacarthur FCMacarthur FCPerth Glory| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Wellington Phoenix | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | +3 | 6 |
| 2 |  Western Sydney Wanderers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 4 |
| 3 | Macarthur FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 |
| 4 |  Sydney FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 4 |
| 5 |  Brisbane Roar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 |  Auckland FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
| 7 |  Newcastle Jets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 8 |  Melbourne Victory | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 |  Central Coast Mariners | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 10 |  Melbourne City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 |  Adelaide United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Perth Glory | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
Macarthur FC vs Perth Glory Prediction (Oct 17)
The Macarthur FC vs Perth Glory prediction for the October 17, 2026, A-League match forecasts a tight contest with the home side holding a clear edge. According to bookmaker odds and recent form, Macarthur FC has a 49% chance of winning, while Perth Glory sits at 24%, and the draw is given a 27% probability.
Team Form
Macarthur FC enters the fixture with mixed results in their last five outings (D, W, W, L, L). Their most recent game was a 0-0 draw away against SD Raiders FC in the Australia Cup on August 11. Before that, they secured a 3-0 away win over Azzuri United FC and a commanding 4-0 home victory against Wellington Phoenix. However, losses to Adelaide United (1-3) and Perth Glory (1-3) ended their previous league campaign, showing defensive frailties against top-half opponents.
Perth Gloryโs last five matches show a sequence of L, W, D, W, D. Their latest result was a 1-3 friendly defeat to Adelaide United on October 3. They responded with a 2-0 home friendly win over the same opponent on September 27. In the Australia Cup, they drew 0-0 with Queensland Lions, while league form at the tail of last season brought a 2-1 home win over Brisbane Roar and a 0-0 away draw at Sydney FC. The away form includes unbeaten results in three of the last five competitive matches.
Head-to-Head Record
In the overall head-to-head, Macarthur FC boasts 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses against Perth Glory. The last five meetings underline a competitive rivalry:
- Apr 12, 2026: Perth Glory 3-1 Macarthur FC
- Feb 6, 2026: Macarthur FC 2-2 Perth Glory
- Nov 30, 2025: Macarthur FC 0-2 Perth Glory
- Dec 27, 2024: Perth Glory 0-3 Macarthur FC
- Oct 20, 2024: Macarthur FC 6-1 Perth Glory
Recent trends show that when Macarthur FC hosts, outcomes have varied: a draw, a loss, and a big win in the last three home clashes. Perth Glory has managed to earn results in two of their last three visits.
League Table Positions
The A-League season has yet to begin, so all teams, including Macarthur FC and Perth Glory, sit on 0 points with no matches played. There is no current gap in the standings to influence the prediction.
Win Probability: Macarthur FC or Perth Glory?
The win probability analysis, derived from implied odds (home 2.01, draw 3.78, away 3.78) and adjusted for recent form and head-to-head data, gives Macarthur FC a 49% chance of victory. The draw holds a 27% probability, while Perth Gloryโs chance of winning stands at 24%. Home advantage and the fact that Macarthur FC has won 6 of the 14 historical H2H encounters strengthen their position as the likely winner. However, Perth Gloryโs ability to secure points in recent away trips โ a draw and a win in the last two league meetings at this venue โ prevents a more lopsided forecast.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see Macarthur FC as the favourite, offering odds around 2.01 for a home win. The draw and an away win are both priced at 3.78, indicating equal skepticism about those outcomes. Based on the stats, the most probable match outcome is a narrow home win, though a draw cannot be ruled out. Our prediction: Macarthur FC to win, but with a defensive setup that could allow Perth Glory to find the net.
Macarthur FC vs Perth Glory โ FAQ
- Who will win Macarthur FC vs Perth Glory?
- Macarthur FC is the more likely winner with a 49% chance. A draw carries a 27% probability, while Perth Glory has a 24% chance of victory according to the analysis of odds and recent form.
- What is the win probability for Macarthur FC?
- Macarthur FC has a 49% win probability. This is based on bookmaker odds (home 2.01) adjusted by head-to-head trends and the team's mixed but competitive recent form at home.
- When is the Macarthur FC vs Perth Glory match?
- The match is on October 17, 2026, with kick-off at 07:00 local time. It is an A-League fixture in Australia.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The main 1X2 odds offer a home win for Macarthur FC at 2.01, the draw at 3.78, and an away win for Perth Glory at 3.78. These prices come from bookmaker data and imply a clear home favourite.