| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 31:2 | +29 | 20 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 22:2 | +20 | 18 | |
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17:5 | +12 | 18 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:4 | +16 | 17 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:9 | +5 | 15 | |
| 6 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12:9 | +3 | 15 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:3 | +12 | 14 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | +5 | 12 | |
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 18:8 | +10 | 10 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 10 | |
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:19 | -11 | 8 | |
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 7 | |
| 13 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 | |
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 4 | |
| 15 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:30 | -24 | 3 | |
| 16 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2:24 | -22 | 2 | |
| 17 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3:36 | -33 | 0 |
Petrolina PE U20 vs Santa Cruz PE U20 prediction for the Campeonato Pernambucano U20 match on October 11, 2026. Santa Cruz PE U20 is the clear favorite, with our analysis giving them a 60% win probability. Petrolina PE U20 has just a 15% chance of a home victory, while the draw is at 25%.
Petrolina's last five results read L, L, D, W, L. They lost 1-0 away to Nautico PE U20 on September 30, then fell 2-0 at home to Vitoria PE U20. A 0-0 home draw with Serrano PE U20 on September 12 was followed by a 2-1 away win over Jaguar PE U20. However, they ended this run with a heavy 3-0 home defeat to Sport Recife PE U20. Across these five matches, Petrolina scored only 2 goals and conceded 7. Their home form is especially worrying: no goals scored in their last three home fixtures (0-2, 0-0, 0-3).
Santa Cruz is unbeaten in five (D, W, D, W, W). They started with a 0-0 away draw at CS Alagoano AL U20 in the Cup U20 on October 8, beat Central PE U20 1-0 at home, drew 1-1 at Retro Brasil PE U20, then thrashed CS Esportiva AL U20 3-0 and 1 de Maio PE U20 4-0 at home. In the league, they have scored 31 goals and conceded only 2 in 8 matches, showcasing both attacking firepower and defensive solidity.
There is no head-to-head history between Petrolina PE U20 and Santa Cruz PE U20. This will be their first competitive meeting.
Santa Cruz PE U20 tops the Campeonato Pernambucano U20 table with 20 points (6W, 2D, 0L), a goal difference of +29. Petrolina PE U20 sits 10th with 10 points (3W, 1D, 3L) and a -2 goal difference. The away standings show Santa Cruz in 3rd place with 8 points from 4 away games (2W, 2D), scoring 14 and conceding just 1. Petrolina does not appear in the top 8 of the home table, underlining their struggles at their own ground.
We calculated the probabilities by starting with the normalized implied odds (home 20.9%, draw 36.1%, away 43.0%) and adjusting for recent form and league context. The final estimates are:
Santa Cruz's unbeaten league record, superior goal difference, and Petrolina's inability to score at home (0 goals in last 3 home games) justify the significant shift. The visitors are far more likely to secure the win.
The 1X2 betting odds are: home win 4.33, draw 2.50, away win 2.10. Bookmakers clearly favor Santa Cruz PE U20. Our prediction matches the odds: based on the stats, Santa Cruz PE U20 is the most probable winner. The away win offers value compared to our 60% probability, but always consider the risks.