Philadelphia Union II - Columbus Crew II prediction 5 September 2026

Our Philadelphia Union II vs Columbus Crew II prediction for the MLS Next Pro clash on July 18, 2026, at 22:00 points to an away win, with Columbus Crew II holding a 45% chance of victory. Philadelphia Union II have a 30% win probability, while the draw sits at 25%. Despite the home side's historical dominance in this fixture, current form and league standings tilt the scales toward the visitors.

Team Form

Philadelphia Union II come into this match with inconsistent results. Their last five outings read: D, W, L, W, L. Most recently, they played out a 0-0 home draw against Huntsville City on Jul 12, 2026. Before that, a 4-0 away win at New England Revolution II was followed by a heavy 5-0 defeat at New York Red Bulls II. At home, they have managed just one point from their last two matches, losing 1-0 to NYC New York City II on Jun 14.

Columbus Crew II, in contrast, are in excellent shape. Their last five results: D, W, W, W, W. After a 2-2 draw at Orlando City II on Jun 28, they recorded three straight wins—3-2 at home to Atlanta United II, 1-0 at FC Cincinnati II, and 2-1 at home to Connecticut United. Their away form is solid, with two wins and a draw in the last three road trips.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Philadelphia Union II. In nine previous meetings, they have won 7, drawn 1, and lost just 1. The last five encounters underline this dominance:

• May 17, 2026: Philadelphia Union II 1-1 Columbus Crew II (Draw)
• Sep 14, 2025: Columbus Crew II 1-3 Philadelphia Union II
• Jun 21, 2025: Columbus Crew II 1-3 Philadelphia Union II
• May 11, 2025: Philadelphia Union II 3-0 Columbus Crew II
• Nov 2, 2024: Philadelphia Union II 4-0 Columbus Crew II

Philadelphia Union II have won four of the last five, including three by multi-goal margins. However, the most recent meeting ended in a draw, suggesting the gap may be closing.

League Table Positions

Columbus Crew II sit 4th in the MLS Next Pro overall standings with 36 points from 17 matches (12 wins, 5 losses). They have been particularly strong at home (7-0-1) but also capable on the road, ranking 5th in the away table with 15 points from 9 games (5-0-4). Philadelphia Union II are not among the top 12 teams in the league table, indicating a lower position and a significant points gap. The visitors' superior league standing is a key factor in this prediction.

Win Probability: Philadelphia Union II or Columbus Crew II?

Based on all available data—form, head-to-head record, league positions, and home advantage—we calculate the following win probabilities:

• Philadelphia Union II win: 30%
• Draw: 25%
• Columbus Crew II win: 45%

Columbus Crew II are the more likely winners. Their current form (four wins in five) and 4th-place standing outweigh Philadelphia Union II's historical H2H edge. The home side's recent struggles at home and overall inconsistency further reduce their chances. Still, the H2H record cannot be ignored—Philadelphia Union II have repeatedly found a way to beat this opponent, which keeps their win probability at a respectable 30%. The draw is a realistic outcome given the most recent 1-1 stalemate.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this fixture are currently unavailable. Without market prices, our prediction relies purely on statistical analysis. Columbus Crew II are the form team and hold a clear league-table advantage, making them the justified favorite. However, Philadelphia Union II's psychological edge from past meetings adds an element of uncertainty. Based on the stats, the most probable outcome is an away win, but a low-scoring draw or a narrow home victory cannot be ruled out.