Milan Futuro - Piacenza prediction 14 October 2026

Milan Futuro vs Piacenza prediction for their Serie D meeting on October 14, 2026, at 14:00. Bookmakers and recent performances point to Piacenza as the narrow favorite with a 37% win probability, while a draw stands at 33% and a Milan Futuro victory at 30%.

Team Form

Milan Futuro have recorded three wins and two losses in their last five matches, showing both attacking flair and defensive vulnerability. On October 11 they fell 2-1 at home to Rovato Vertovese, but previously secured wins over ASD Villa D'Almè (2-1 away) and ASD Calcio Brusaporto (2-1 home). Their only other defeat was a 2-0 loss at Pro Palazzolo, while a 4-3 home thriller against Calcio Caldiero Terme highlighted their goal-scoring ability. Over these five games Milan Futuro netted nine goals and conceded the same number.

Piacenza enter this fixture with just one defeat in their last five outings (W2 D2 L1). They played out a goalless draw at Fiorenzuola on October 10, thrashed Scanzorosciate Calcio 4-0 at home, and beat Real Calepina 3-1 also at home. A 1-1 away draw against AC Monza and a narrow 1-0 home loss to Virtus Verona complete the picture. Piacenza’s defence has been relatively solid, kepping two clean sheets in this run, and they have been tough to beat on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no previous head-to-head data between Milan Futuro and Piacenza. This will be the first official encounter between the two sides in Serie D, so no historical trend can influence the betting tips.

Win Probability: Milan Futuro or Piacenza?

After analysing the odds and recent form, the match outcome probabilities are: Milan Futuro win – 30%, draw – 33%, Piacenza win – 37%. The base probabilities were calculated from the average bookmaker odds (home 3.02, draw 2.75, away 2.46) by removing the margin and normalising to 100%. We then adjusted slighlty for form: Milan Futuro’s home inconsistency (3W,2L in the last five) and Piacenza’s strong away performances (unbeaten in four of five, including two draws) confirm Piacenza’s narrow edge. Consequently, Piacenza has the highest chance of winning, but the draw is almost as likely as a home win.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers are offering varied odds for this fixture. A home win ranges from 2.65 to 3.30, a draw from 2.15 to 3.30, and an away win from 2.15 to 2.75. The best available odds for Piacenza are around 2.75, reflecting their status as slight favorites. Based on the stats, the most probable match outcome is a narrow Piacenza victory, though a low-scoring draw cannot be discounted. The match is expected to be tight, with total goals likely under 2.5 given Piacenza’s defensive solidity. No exact scoreline can be guaranteed, but the safest betting angle leans towards the away side or the draw.