Pitea IF Women - IFK Norrkoping Women prediction 3 October 2026

Pitea IF Women vs IFK Norrkoping Women prediction for the Damallsvenskan Women clash on Oct 3, 2026, at 12:00. Based on the latest odds, head-to-head record, and league standings, Pitea IF Women enter this match as the favorite with a 45% win probability, while the draw sits at 25% and IFK Norrkoping Women have a 30% chance.

Team Form

Pitea IF Women come into this fixture with mixed results from their last five outings: L, D, L, W, D. Their most recent match was a 1-0 away defeat to Rosengaard Women on Sep 27. Prior to that, they drew 2-2 at Kristianstads DFF Women and lost 0-1 at home to AIK Women. A 2-0 home win over Vaxjo FF Women on Sep 5 and a 1-1 draw at Brommapojkarna Women round out the sequence. The team has struggled for consistency, winning just once in this period.

IFK Norrkoping Women are in even poorer form, with a D, L, W, L, L record across their last five matches. They drew 2-2 at Linkopings Women in the Cup Women on Sep 29, but suffered a heavy 0-6 home loss to BK Hacken Women in the league. A surprise 2-1 home win over Rosengaard Women on Sep 20 was followed by back-to-back 0-2 defeats at Brommapojkarna Women and Hammarby Women. Defensive frailties are evident, conceding 12 goals in these five games.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Pitea IF Women. In the last five meetings, Pitea have won four times, IFK Norrkoping have won once, and there have been no draws. The most recent clash on May 30, 2026, saw Pitea win 2-1 away. The only Norrkoping victory came on Aug 30, 2025, when they won 2-1 at Pitea. Overall, Pitea have outscored Norrkoping 8-5 across these five encounters.

League Table Positions

Pitea IF Women sit 9th in the Damallsvenskan Women table with 23 points from 20 matches (6 wins, 5 draws, 9 losses). They have scored 23 goals and conceded 29. IFK Norrkoping Women are outside the top 12, indicating a much lower position and a likely relegation battle. The gap in league standing further strengthens Pitea's claim as favorites.

Win Probability: Pitea IF Women or IFK Norrkoping Women?

After normalizing the average bookmaker odds (home 2.55, draw 2.25, away 3.35) and adjusting for form, head-to-head dominance, and home advantage, the win probabilities are: Pitea IF Women 45%, draw 25%, IFK Norrkoping Women 30%. Pitea's superior H2H record (4 wins in 5) and higher league position outweigh their inconsistent recent form. Norrkoping's poor defensive record and lowly table status reduce their chances, though the odds still imply a competitive match. Overall, Pitea IF Women are the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a tight contest. The average odds are 2.55 for a Pitea IF Women win, 2.25 for the draw, and 3.35 for an IFK Norrkoping Women victory. The draw is priced as the most probable single outcome, but the H2H history (no draws in five games) and Pitea's home edge suggest otherwise. Based on the stats, our Pitea IF Women vs IFK Norrkoping Women prediction leans towards a home win. The value may lie in backing Pitea to claim all three points.