OLS - PK Keski-Uusimaa prediction 26 September 2026

Our OLS vs PK Keski-Uusimaa prediction for the Ykkonen clash on Sep 26, 2026, at 12:30, points to a home win. Based on recent form, head-to-head dominance, and home advantage, OLS has a 52% chance of winning, while PK Keski-Uusimaa sits at 20% and the draw at 28%.

Team Form

OLS come into this match with a mixed but resilient run: two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five outings. They beat JJK Jyvaskyla 3-1 away and Tampere United 2-1 at home, drew 1-1 with RoPS Rovaniemen and 3-3 with the same opponent, and suffered a 4-1 defeat at SalPa. Across the season, OLS have scored 47 goals and conceded 37 in 24 league matches, averaging 1.96 goals per game.

PK Keski-Uusimaa's recent form is identical in terms of results (W2 D2 L1). They defeated RoPS Rovaniemen 3-1 at home and TPV 2-0 away, drew 2-2 with JJK Jyvaskyla and KuPS Akatemia, and lost 3-2 at Tampere United. They have netted 45 goals and allowed 34, showing a slightly tighter defense than OLS. Both sides have been competitive, but OLS's home performances give them the edge.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors OLS. In four previous meetings, OLS have won twice and drawn twice, with PK Keski-Uusimaa yet to register a victory. OLS have outscored their opponents 7-3 in these fixtures. The most recent encounter, on Jul 18, 2026, ended 1-1 at PK Keski-Uusimaa. Earlier in April 2026, OLS won 2-0 at home. The pattern suggests OLS are a tough matchup for their opponents.

• Jul 18, 2026: PK Keski-Uusimaa 1-1 OLS
• Apr 25, 2026: OLS 2-0 PK Keski-Uusimaa
• Aug 2, 2025: PK Keski-Uusimaa 1-1 OLS
• May 18, 2025: OLS 3-1 PK Keski-Uusimaa

League Table Positions

In the Ykkonen standings, both teams are neck-and-neck. PK Keski-Uusimaa sit 4th with 38 points (10W 8D 6L, GD +11), while OLS are 5th with the same points and record (10W 8D 6L, GD +10). However, OLS have been formidable at home, ranking 4th in the home table with 7 wins from 11 matches (23 points). PK Keski-Uusimaa's away form is solid (5W 3D 4L, 18 points from 12 games), but they face a tough test at the OLS ground.

Win Probability: OLS or PK Keski-Uusimaa?

After analyzing all available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: OLS win – 52%, draw – 28%, PK Keski-Uusimaa win – 20%. Without bookmaker odds, we weighted home advantage (OLS 64% home win rate), head-to-head (OLS unbeaten in four), and recent form (both similar) to arrive at these percentages. The home side's strong record at their own stadium, combined with a historical edge in this fixture, makes them the clear favorite. PK Keski-Uusimaa's away resilience and similar overall form keep the draw and an away upset within the realm of possibility, but the numbers point to an OLS victory.

OLS vs PK Keski-Uusimaa Prediction & Odds

Bookmakers' odds for this fixture are not currently available in our data feed. Nevertheless, based on the stats, our OLS vs PK Keski-Uusimaa prediction is a home win. The head-to-head dominance, home advantage, and identical league standing with a slight defensive edge for OLS at home suggest they will secure all three points. A 2-1 or 1-0 scoreline appears likely, but a draw cannot be ruled out given both teams' tendency to share points.