PK Keski Uusimaa Women - HJK II Women prediction 28 September 2026

The PK Keski Uusimaa Women vs HJK II Women prediction for this Ykkonen Women clash on Sep 28, 2026, at 17:00 local time, points to a home win as the most likely outcome. Our analysis, based on recent form, head-to-head records, and bookmakers' odds, gives PK Keski Uusimaa Women a 48% chance of winning, with the draw at 28% and HJK II Women at 24%.

Team Form

PK Keski Uusimaa Women are coming off a stellar 7-0 home win against Lahti Women on September 12, following a 5-1 away victory against today's opponents, HJK II Women, on August 24. However, prior to those two wins, they suffered three consecutive defeats: 2-3 at home to TPS Turun Palloseura Women, 1-4 at home to KTP Women, and a narrow 3-4 home loss against EBK Women. Overall, their last five results show two wins and three losses, but their recent attacking form (12 goals in the last two matches) is impressive.

HJK II Women have a similar recent record of one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five. They picked up a narrow 1-0 home win over KTP Women on September 13, but were thrashed 1-5 at home by PK Keski Uusimaa Women on August 24, lost 0-6 at ONS Oulu, and 2-5 at home to HJS Women, with a 1-1 draw at JyPK Women on July 19. Their away form is especially concerning, with heavy defeats and little consistency.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met four times in recent history. HJK II Women hold a slight edge with 2 wins, 1 draw, and PK Keski Uusimaa Women have 1 win. Interestingly, the most recent encounter on August 24, 2026, saw PK Keski Uusimaa Women thrash HJK II 5-1 away from home. Before that, they drew 3-3 on July 9, 2026, and HJK II won 1-0 on June 30, 2026. The previous match in June 2025 ended 4-1 to HJK II. Goals are guaranteed in this fixture, with both teams having scored 9 goals each across the four H2Hs.

Win Probability: PK Keski Uusimaa Women or HJK II Women?

Based on a thorough analysis of the available odds, team form, and head-to-head record, the win probabilities for the match are calculated as follows: PK Keski Uusimaa Women have a 48% chance of winning, a draw is priced at 28%, and an away win for HJK II Women stands at 24%. The odds implied a relatively balanced contest, but PK’s dominant recent form, especially the 5-1 away win over HJK II, and home advantage tilt the scales in their favour. HJK II’s poor away defensive record further reduces their chances. Therefore, PK Keski Uusimaa Women are the more likely winners.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers present a range of odds for the 1X2 market. The best home win odds for PK Keski Uusimaa Women are as low as 2.05, while the draw is offered between 2.62 and 3.90, and an away win can be backed at 2.75 to 3.10. These odds reflect the tight nature of the fixture but give PK the edge. Our prediction: PK Keski Uusimaa Women to win. Based on the stats, a home victory looks the most probable outcome. For betting tips, a PK win at odds around 2.05 holds value, given their recent high-scoring performances.