Alianza FC Panama Reserves - Plaza Amador Reserves prediction 22 October 2026

Our Alianza FC Panama Reserves vs Plaza Amador Reserves prediction for the Oct 22, 2026 Liga Prom match in Panama points to an away victory. Plaza Amador Reserves are the clear favorites with a win probability of around 60%, while Alianza FC Panama Reserves are the underdogs at just 12%.

Team Form

Alianza FC Panama Reserves: Recent results: W, D, D, L, L. In their last five outings, they managed one away win (1-0 at San Martin FC on Oct 16), two goalless draws (0-0 at San Martin FC on Oct 9 and 0-0 at home vs UMECIT Reserves on Oct 2), and two defeats (3-1 at Champions Academy on Sep 25 and 0-2 at home vs Academia Costa del Este on Sep 18). The side has struggled to score, netting only once in those five matches.

Plaza Amador Reserves: Recent results: D, W, W, D, W. They are unbeaten in five with three wins and two draws. Highlights include a 4-0 away thrashing of Sporting San Miguelito Reserves (Oct 2), a 1-0 away win at Arabe Unido Reserves (Sep 27), and a 6-4 goal fest at UMECIT Reserves (Sep 12). Their form is robust, with 11 goals scored in the last five games.

Head-to-Head Record

Overall H2H (all venues): Alianza FC Panama Reserves 7 wins, Plaza Amador Reserves 9 wins, 5 draws. The last five meetings heavily favour Plaza Amador: they are unbeaten (3 wins, 2 draws) against Alianza:

• Jul 31, 2026: Plaza Amador Reserves 4-1 Alianza FC Panama Reserves
• Apr 24, 2026: Plaza Amador Reserves 1-1 Alianza FC Panama Reserves
• Feb 5, 2026: Alianza FC Panama Reserves 0-1 Plaza Amador Reserves
• Oct 17, 2025: Plaza Amador Reserves 5-1 Alianza FC Panama Reserves
• Jul 26, 2025: Alianza FC Panama Reserves 1-1 Plaza Amador Reserves

Win Probability: Alianza FC Panama Reserves vs Plaza Amador Reserves Prediction

Based on odds, form, and head-to-head data, the win probabilities are:

• Alianza FC Panama Reserves win: 12%
• Draw: 28%
• Plaza Amador Reserves win: 60%

The inverse odds from three bookmakers gave an initial away win chance of about 47%, but Plaza Amador’s superior recent form (unbeaten in five, three wins) and historical dominance (unbeaten in last five H2H) pushes their probability significantly higher. Alianza’s poor attacking output and winless run in four of their last five add weight to the away win forecast.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ 1X2 odds for the match:

• Home (Alianza FC Panama Reserves): 4.20 – 4.33
• Draw: 2.40 – 3.95
• Away (Plaza Amador Reserves): 1.62 – 2.15

The market clearly prices Plaza Amador as the favourite. Our final match prediction is an away win for Plaza Amador Reserves, given the strong form and head-to-head edge. A draw or an Alianza upset would be a surprise based on the current data.