Plymouth Argyle - Crystal Palace U21 prediction 22 September 2026

The Plymouth Argyle vs Crystal Palace U21 prediction for this EFL Trophy match on Sep 22 at 19:00 points to a strong home favorite. Based on the odds, recent form, and the single head-to-head meeting, Plymouth Argyle has a 75% chance of winning, the draw is at 15%, and Crystal Palace U21 has a 10% chance.

Team Form

Plymouth Argyle comes into this match in excellent shape, having won four of their last five matches. Their recent results include a 4-2 away win at Blackpool, a 3-0 home victory over Barnsley, and a 3-2 win at Doncaster Rovers. The only blemish was a 2-0 loss at Leicester City. Crystal Palace U21's form is also solid, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five. They beat Swindon Town 2-1 in their most recent EFL Trophy outing and drew 1-1 with Arsenal U21, but lost 1-0 at home to Blackburn Rovers U21.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met only once before, in the FA Trophy on Oct 18, 2022. Plymouth Argyle won that match 1-0 at home. This gives the home side a perfect head-to-head record of 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses against Crystal Palace U21.

League Table Positions

Plymouth Argyle competes in League 1, the third tier of English football, while Crystal Palace U21 plays in Premier League 2 U21, a development league. The difference in competitive level strongly favors the senior side, especially when playing at Home Park.

Win Probability: Plymouth Argyle or Crystal Palace U21?

Plymouth Argyle has a 75% chance of winning, the draw is at 15%, and Crystal Palace U21 has a 10% chance. This calculation is based on the average bookmaker odds (home win ~1.28, draw ~3.13, away win ~6.44), adjusted for Plymouth's strong home form (3 wins in last 4 at Home Park), their 100% H2H record, and the gap in league tiers. The odds imply a home win probability above 70%, and the additional factors push it slightly higher.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Plymouth Argyle as the clear favorite. The best available odds are 1.32 for a home win, 6.26 for a draw, and 8.69 for an away win. Based on the stats, a Plymouth Argyle win is the most likely outcome. The team's scoring form (12 goals in their last 5 matches) and home advantage make them the strong pick to win this EFL Trophy tie.