Yangpyeong - Pocheon prediction 13 September 2026

The Yangpyeong vs Pocheon prediction for September 13, 2026, points to an away win for Pocheon in this K-League 3 clash. Based on recent form, head-to-head dominance, and league table positions, Pocheon has a 55% chance of winning, while Yangpyeong's home struggles leave them with just a 20% probability. The match kicks off at 08:00 UTC.

Team Form

Yangpyeong come into this match in poor shape. Their last five home games have yielded just one win, one draw, and three losses. Defeats against Siheung Citizen (1-3) and Busan Transportation Corporation (2-4) exposed defensive frailties, while a 3-3 draw with Gyeongju KHNP showed they can score but struggle to hold leads. The sole bright spot was a 5-2 thrashing of Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors Reserves, but that result is an outlier in an otherwise disappointing run.

Pocheon, by contrast, are flying. Their last five away matches produced three wins, one draw, and only one loss. Victories at Geoje Citizen (2-1) and Yeoju Citizen FC (1-0) highlight their ability to grind out results on the road. A 1-1 draw at Daejeon Korail and a narrow 2-3 defeat at Siheung Citizen are the only minor blemishes in a strong sequence. With 14 goals scored and just 11 conceded in 10 away league games this season, Pocheon are a formidable travelling side.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favours Pocheon. In the last four meetings across all competitions, Pocheon have won three times and Yangpyeong just once, with no draws. Most recently, Pocheon beat Yangpyeong 2-0 at home in May 2026, and they also won 1-0 in September 2025. The only Yangpyeong victory came way back in September 2017, a 1-0 home success in the K-League 1. In K-League 3 encounters, Pocheon have a perfect record, winning all three matches without conceding a goal in the last two.

League Table Positions

Pocheon sit 2nd in the K-League 3 overall standings with 42 points from 21 matches (12 wins, 6 draws, 3 losses). They have scored 36 goals and conceded only 19, boasting the second-best defensive record in the division. Yangpyeong are not even in the top 12, indicating they are deep in the lower half of the table. Pocheon's away form is particularly impressive: they rank 3rd in the away table with 5 wins, 3 draws, and just 2 defeats. Yangpyeong's home record is not among the top eight, underlining their vulnerability at their own ground.

Win Probability: Yangpyeong or Pocheon?

After analysing all available data, the win probabilities are: Pocheon 55%, draw 25%, Yangpyeong 20%. Pocheon's strong away performances (50% win rate on the road), combined with Yangpyeong's poor home form (only one win in five) and the one-sided head-to-head record, make the visitors clear favourites. Yangpyeong's 20% chance reflects their occasional ability to pull off a surprise, but the stats strongly suggest Pocheon will take all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds are not available at the time of writing, but based on the stats, Pocheon are expected to be priced as short favourites. Our prediction is an away win for Pocheon. Yangpyeong's leaky defence and Pocheon's clinical away form point to a 2-0 or 2-1 victory for the visitors. A draw cannot be ruled out given Pocheon's three away draws this season, but the value lies with the away side.