The Pogon Szczecin II vs GKS Manowo prediction points to a heavily one-sided contest in the Polish IV Liga on October 3, 2026, at 10:00. Bookmakers and recent form both make Pogon Szczecin II the overwhelming favorite, with an estimated 86% chance of winning.
Pogon Szczecin II arrive with a mixed last five results: W, L, L, W, W. They demolished Iskierka Szczecin 7-0 at home on September 19 and crushed Gwardia Koszalin 6-1 at home on August 15, but suffered two heavy 4-0 away defeats on September 13 against both KP Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski II and Swit Szczecin II. Their most recent away game was a 4-1 victory at LKS Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal back in May. So while their away form raises questions, at home they have been relentless.
GKS Manowo's last five read W, L, L, L, L. The lone bright spot was a 2-0 home win over KS Orzel Walcz on September 26. Otherwise, they lost 4-1 at Gwardia Koszalin, 1-0 at home to LKS Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal, 3-2 at Ina Insko, and 5-4 at Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski. Defensive fragility is a clear concern.
There is no prior head-to-head data for this fixture. The record stands at 0 home wins, 0 draws, and 0 away wins, meaning these sides have never met before. This will be a first encounter.
League table data is not available in the current match information. However, the contrasting form and extreme odds strongly suggest Pogon Szczecin II sits much higher and far safer than GKS Manowo in the IV Liga standings.
Using the inverse of the bookmakers' 1X2 odds and normalizing to remove the margin, the probabilities are:
The home side's strong attacking displays at their own ground, combined with GKS Manowo's recent losing streak and leaky defense, reinforce this projection. The 86% figure makes Pogon Szczecin II a clear favorite to take all three points.
The available odds from bookmakers are: Pogon Szczecin II 1.06, Draw 11.00, GKS Manowo 17.00. These numbers mirror the gigantic gulf in perceived quality. Based on the stats, a comfortable home win is the most likely outcome. Backing Pogon Szczecin II on the 1X2 market offers minimal value due to the short price, but the data leaves little room for an upset.