Pogon Szczecin Women - Rekord Bielsko-Biala Women prediction 4 October 2026

Our Pogon Szczecin Women vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala Women prediction for the Ekstraklasa Women match on October 4, 2026, points to a dominant favorite. Based on an in-depth analysis of team form, head-to-head record, and league standings, Pogon Szczecin Women carry a 70% win probability, while Rekord Bielsko-Biala Women have just a 10% chance, with the draw sitting at 20%. The match kicks off at 11:00 AM local time in Poland.

Team Form

Pogon Szczecin Women’s recent form shows three wins and two losses in their last five Ekstraklasa Women matches (W, L, W, W, L). They secured impressive away victories against UKS SMS Lodz Women (0-2), AZS Krakow Women (1-4), and a 5-0 home demolition of AZS Slask Wroclaw Women. The defeats came against a strong Gornik Leczna Women (1-3 at home) and APLG Gdansk Women (2-1 away).

Rekord Bielsko-Biala Women, on the other hand, are winless in their last five outings, recording three consecutive draws before two heavy losses (D, D, D, L, L). They managed 1-1 stalemates against APLG Gdansk Women, AZS Slask Wroclaw Women, and AZS Krakow Women, but suffered a 5-1 thrashing at Gornik Leczna Women and a 1-4 home loss to Legia Warszawa Women.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record completely favors Pogon Szczecin Women, who have won all three previous meetings in the Ekstraklasa Women. Pogon triumphed 1-0 away on March 15, 2026, 3-2 at home on August 24, 2025, and 4-0 away on March 9, 2025. Rekord are yet to register a single draw or victory against Pogon, underlining the historical gap between the two sides.

League Table Positions

Pogon Szczecin Women sit 3rd in the Ekstraklasa Women standings with 12 points from 6 matches (4 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses), scoring 15 goals and conceding just 7. Their home form includes a 5-0 win and a 1-3 loss, placing them 5th in the home table.

Rekord Bielsko-Biala Women occupy 10th place with only 3 points from 6 games (0 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses) and a goal difference of 6–15. The 9-point gap and the visitors’ inability to secure a win this season highlight the mismatch on paper.

Win Probability: Pogon Szczecin Women or Rekord Bielsko-Biala Women?

We calculated the outcome probabilities by analyzing recent form, head-to-head dominance, league positions, and home advantage. Pogon Szczecin Women have a 70% chance of winning, the draw is rated at 20%, and Rekord Bielsko-Biala Women have just a 10% probability of a shock victory. The numbers reflect Pogon’s perfect H2H record (3 wins in 3), their much stronger form (W-L-W-W-L vs D-D-D-L-L), and the 9-point gulf in the standings. Although Pogon’s home record is mixed, the overall quality and Rekord’s winless campaign make an away upset extremely unlikely. Pogon Szczecin Women are the clear favorites to claim all three points.

Match Prediction: Pogon Szczecin Women vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala Women

Bookmakers’ odds for this fixture are not listed in the provided data, but all statistical indicators point toward a comfortable home victory. Based on the stats, our final prediction is a win for Pogon Szczecin Women, likely by a margin of at least two goals. Rekord Bielsko-Biala Women’s recent defensive frailties – conceding nine goals in two losses – will be tested against Pogon’s attack that has scored 15 times in six league matches.