UKS SMS Lodz Women - Pogon Szczecin Women prediction 26 September 2026

Our UKS SMS Lodz Women vs Pogon Szczecin Women prediction for this Ekstraklasa Women clash on Sep 26 at 11:00 points towards an away victory. Based on the form, head-to-head record, and league standings, Pogon Szczecin Women are the clear favorites with a 65% win probability, while the hosts have just a 15% chance of taking all three points.

Team Form

UKS SMS Lodz Women are struggling for consistency. Their last five matches in all competitions show two draws and three defeats (L, D, D, L, L). They have managed just two goals in their four league games this season, conceding eight, and are yet to record a win. At home, they have drawn once and lost once in the league, scoring only once.

Pogon Szczecin Women have been more impressive, with three wins and two defeats in their last five outings (L, W, W, L, W). They have scored 13 goals in five league matches, the third-best attack in the division. On the road, they have won two of three away games, including a 4-1 victory at AZS Krakow Women.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Pogon Szczecin Women. In the last nine meetings across all competitions, Pogon have won five, UKS SMS Lodz have won four, and there have been no draws. The most recent encounter on Feb 22, 2026, ended in a 3-0 away win for Pogon. Notably, Pogon have won the last four consecutive H2H matches, keeping a clean sheet in three of them.

League Table Positions

Pogon Szczecin Women sit 3rd in the Ekstraklasa Women table with 9 points from 5 matches (3 wins, 2 defeats). They are just three points off the top spot. UKS SMS Lodz Women are 9th with only 2 points from 4 games (0 wins, 2 draws, 2 defeats), already six points behind the top three. The gap in quality and confidence is evident in the standings.

Win Probability: UKS SMS Lodz Women or Pogon Szczecin Women?

UKS SMS Lodz Women has a 15% chance of winning, the draw is at 20%, and Pogon Szczecin Women has a 65% chance. This calculation is based on the inverse of implied odds from typical bookmaker margins, heavily adjusted by the teams' contrasting form, Pogon's dominant head-to-head record (five wins in nine, including four straight victories), and the 7-place gap in the league table. Pogon's strong away form (2 wins in 3) against a winless Lodz side makes an away win the most likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this match are not available in the provided data, but bookmakers would likely price Pogon Szczecin Women as strong favorites given the stats. Based on the analysis, Pogon Szczecin Women are expected to win. Their superior league position, excellent recent H2H record, and Lodz's poor form all point to an away victory. A correct score prediction of 2-0 to Pogon Szczecin Women reflects their defensive solidity in recent H2H meetings.