Pohang Steelers - Johor Darul Takzim prediction 13 October 2026

The Pohang Steelers vs Johor Darul Takzim prediction for October 13, 2026, points to an away win in this AFC Champions League clash. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Johor Darul Takzim has a 42% chance of winning, while a draw is at 33% and a Pohang Steelers victory stands at 25%. The match kicks off at 11:00 at Pohang's home ground.

Team Form

Pohang Steelers come into this fixture with inconsistent results. Their last five matches across all competitions show two draws, two defeats, and just one win (L, W, L, D, D). The most recent outing was a 3–0 away loss to Incheon United on October 9, 2026. At home, they managed a 2–1 win over Seoul but also drew 0–0 with Gimcheon Sangmu Sangju and lost 3–1 to Beijing Guoan in the AFC Champions League.

Johor Darul Takzim, on the other hand, are in superb form. Their last five results read W, W, W, D, W, including a 4–1 cup win over Penang FA on October 9 and a 6–0 thrashing of Preah Khan Reach Svay Rieng in the ASEAN Club Championship. The only slight blemish was a 1–1 draw at home to Buriram United in this competition on September 15. Away from home, they have scored 7 goals in a single cup match and look very dangerous.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met four times previously, all in the AFC Champions League. Pohang Steelers hold the edge with 3 wins to Johor Darul Takzim's 1, and there have been no draws. However, the most recent encounter on February 18, 2025, saw Johor Darul Takzim thrash Pohang 5–2 at home. The earlier meetings in 2021 both ended in Pohang victories (2–0 away and 4–1 home).

League Table Positions

The provided AFC Champions League standings do not include either Pohang Steelers or Johor Darul Takzim among the top 12 teams. Therefore, a direct positional comparison is not possible from the available data.

Win Probability: Pohang Steelers or Johor Darul Takzim?

After analysing the odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, the calculated win probabilities are: Pohang Steelers 25%, Draw 33%, Johor Darul Takzim 42%. The bookmakers' average implied probabilities (after removing the margin) were 28.8% home win, 36.15% draw, and 35.05% away win. We adjusted these figures to reflect Johor's dominant form (four wins in five) and Pohang's struggles, as well as Johor's emphatic 5–2 victory in the most recent H2H. The adjustment gives Johor a clear edge, though the draw remains a strong possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for the full-time result vary, with home win odds ranging from 2.90 to 3.27, draw odds from 2.25 to 3.44, and away win odds from 2.33 to 2.62. The best price for a Johor Darul Takzim victory is around 2.33, making them the favourites. Our Pohang Steelers vs Johor Darul Takzim prediction is an away win, but with a high chance of a draw. Based on the stats, Johor Darul Takzim are the more likely winners.