Unia Skierniewice - Polonia Bytom prediction 24 October 2026

The Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Bytom prediction for this I Liga match on October 24, 2026, at 14:30 points towards a tightly contested encounter where the visitors are narrow favorites. Based on available odds and recent form, Polonia Bytom holds a slight edge with a win probability around 38%, while Unia Skierniewice sits at 34%, leaving a draw at 28%.

Team Form

Unia Skierniewice come into this match with inconsistent results, recording two wins, two draws, and two losses in their last six outings across all competitions. Their most recent I Liga match was a 1-0 away defeat to Warta Poznan on October 16. Prior to that, they managed a 2-2 home draw against Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza and a 3-2 home win over Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki.

Polonia Bytom have shown stronger recent form, with three wins, two draws, and one loss in their last six matches. They secured a 3-2 home victory against Chrobry Glogow on October 17 and an impressive 1-0 away win at Puszcza Niepolomice on October 11. Their only blip in league play was a 4-1 friendly defeat against Rakow Czestochowa earlier in the month.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no prior head-to-head record available between Unia Skierniewice and Polonia Bytom. This will be the first competitive meeting between the two sides, making recent form and league standing the primary indicators for this prediction.

League Table Positions

In the overall I Liga standings, Polonia Bytom are placed 10th with 15 points from 11 matches (3 wins, 6 draws, 2 losses), having scored 18 goals and conceded 19. Unia Skierniewice do not appear in the provided league table, suggesting they may be outside the top 12 or data was unavailable. Polonia Bytom's home form shows them 5th in the home standings with 10 points from 6 games (2 wins, 4 draws, 0 losses), remaining unbeaten on their own turf.

Win Probability: Unia Skierniewice or Polonia Bytom?

Analyzing the available data, the win probability is calculated by taking the inverse of the best available odds and normalizing them to remove the bookmaker margin. The most favorable odds show a home win at 2.62, a draw at 2.35, and an away win at 2.68. After adjusting for recent form—where Polonia Bytom earned 10 points from their last 5 league games compared to Unia Skierniewice's 5 points—and factoring in the visitors' unbeaten away record in their last two league trips, we have slightly boosted their chances. The final probabilities are: Unia Skierniewice win: 34%, a draw: 28%, and Polonia Bytom win: 38%. Polonia Bytom is more likely to win based on their superior recent results and resilience on the road.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a balanced contest. Odds for a home win are set at 2.62, a draw at 2.35, and an away victory at 2.68. The low draw odds reflect the expectation of a close match. Based on the stats, our prediction leans towards an away win for Polonia Bytom, though a draw is a very realistic outcome given the hosts' ability to share points at home and the visitors' multiple stalemates this season.