Wisla Krakow U19 - Polonia Warszawa U19 prediction 7 October 2026

Wisla Krakow U19 vs Polonia Warszawa U19 prediction for the Central Junior League U19 match on Oct 7, 2026, at 14:00. Based on our analysis of team form, head-to-head record, and league standings, Wisla Krakow U19 enters this match as the favorite with a 40% win probability, while Polonia Warszawa U19 has a 35% chance and the draw stands at 25%.

Team Form

Wisla Krakow U19's last five matches: D, W, W, W, L. They drew 2-2 away at Zaglebie Lubin U19, then won three in a row — 4-0 at home against Talent Warszawa U19, 2-1 away at Lech Poznan U19, and 2-1 at home against MKS Znicz Pruszkow U19 — before losing 1-3 away to Escola Varsovia Warszawa U19. That's three wins, one draw, and one loss, with 11 goals scored and 7 conceded.

Polonia Warszawa U19's last five: W, W, L, L, W. They beat Legia Warszawa U19 3-2 at home, thrashed Zaglebie Lubin U19 5-1 at home, then lost two away games 0-1 at Escola Varsovia Warszawa U19 and 0-1 at KS Arkonia Szczecin U19, before bouncing back with a 2-1 home win over ZKS Stal Rzeszow U19. That's three wins and two defeats, with 10 goals scored and 6 conceded.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met four times in the Central Junior League U19. Wisla Krakow U19 has dominated with 3 wins and 1 draw; Polonia Warszawa U19 has never won. The most recent clash was on Oct 25, 2025, when Wisla won 2-1 at home. The only draw was 1-1 back in August 2023. The overall goal difference in H2H matches is 6-3 in favor of Wisla.

League Table Positions

Wisla Krakow U19 sits 5th in the Central Junior League U19 with 13 points from 8 matches (3 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss; goals 15:10). Polonia Warszawa U19 is 11th with 10 points from 8 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses; goals 14:12). Wisla's away form is particularly strong — they rank 2nd in the away standings with 9 points from 5 away games (2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses). Polonia's home form is solid (5th in home standings), but they are the away side here, and their recent away results have been poor.

Win Probability: Wisla Krakow U19 or Polonia Warszawa U19?

After normalizing the bookmaker odds to remove margins and adjusting for H2H dominance, league position, and home advantage, we calculate the following probabilities: Wisla Krakow U19 win — 40%, draw — 25%, Polonia Warszawa U19 win — 35%. The odds initially suggested a very close match, but Wisla's perfect H2H record (3 wins, 1 draw) and higher league standing give them the edge. Polonia's recent away defeats also lower their chances. Therefore, Wisla Krakow U19 is the more likely winner, though a draw cannot be ruled out.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer the following 1X2 odds: one bookmaker has Wisla Krakow U19 at 2.38, draw at 3.50, Polonia Warszawa U19 at 2.40; another lists 2.50, 3.80, and 2.20 respectively. These odds reflect a tight contest. Based on the stats, our prediction leans towards a home win for Wisla Krakow U19, but with both teams showing the ability to score, a low-scoring draw is also a realistic outcome.