Polonia Warszawa - Chrobry Glogow prediction 19 September 2026

Polonia Warszawa vs Chrobry Glogow prediction for Sep 19, 2026 in Poland’s I Liga points to Polonia Warszawa as the favourite. The hosts are priced at 1.80 in the 1X2 market and hold a 46% win probability, while Chrobry Glogow have a 22% chance and the draw is at 32%. The match is scheduled for 13:30.

Team Form

Polonia Warszawa arrive with mixed recent form: D, L, W, L, W across their last five fixtures. In that run they drew 2-2 at home with Polonia Bytom on Sep 11, lost 2-1 at Stal Rzeszow on Sep 05, beat Gornik Polkowice 1-0 in the Cup on Sep 02, lost 4-2 at home to Lechia Gdansk on Aug 29, and won 3-1 at Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza on Aug 22.

Chrobry Glogow’s last five results are D, D, W, W, L. They drew 0-0 at home with Pogon Siedlce on Sep 12, drew 1-1 at Miedz Legnica on Sep 05, won 1-0 at Miedz Legnica in the Cup on Sep 02, beat Ruch Chorzow 2-0 at home on Aug 30, and lost 0-1 at home to Warta Poznan on Aug 21.

Head-to-Head Record

The supplied head-to-head record shows Polonia Warszawa with 3 wins, 1 draw, and Chrobry Glogow with 2 wins. Recent meetings include a 1-0 home win for Polonia Warszawa on Apr 25, 2026, a 2-0 home win for Chrobry Glogow on Oct 18, 2025, a 4-2 home win for Polonia Warszawa on Mar 29, 2025, a 1-1 draw on Mar 03, 2024, and a 1-3 friendly win for Chrobry Glogow on Jan 17, 2024.

League Table Positions

In the I Liga table, Chrobry Glogow are 4th with 12 points from 8 matches (3 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). Polonia Warszawa are 6th with 11 points from 8 matches (3 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses). Chrobry Glogow have scored 11 and conceded 6, while Polonia Warszawa have scored 13 and conceded 12. The gap is only one point, but Chrobry Glogow hold the clear defensive edge.

Win Probability: Polonia Warszawa or Chrobry Glogow?

Polonia Warszawa has a 46% chance of winning, the draw is at 32%, and Chrobry Glogow has a 22% chance. The 1X2 odds imply roughly 45% for a Polonia Warszawa win, 35% for the draw, and 20% for Chrobry Glogow before removing the bookmaker margin. The final probability adjusts for home advantage, the 3-1-2 head-to-head edge, and Chrobry Glogow’s unbeaten away league form. Chrobry Glogow’s away record of 2 wins and 1 draw in three I Liga away matches keeps their chance at 22% and makes the draw a realistic outcome. Conclusion: Polonia Warszawa are the more likely winner, but this is not a one-sided match.

Odds & Match Prediction

Available 1X2 odds list Polonia Warszawa at 1.80, the draw at 2.28–2.30, and Chrobry Glogow at 3.90–4.00. Bookmakers see Polonia Warszawa as the favourite, and the win probability supports that view at 46%.

Final prediction: Polonia Warszawa to win. Based on the stats, a home win is the single most likely outcome, but the draw at 32% and Chrobry Glogow’s strong away form make this a tricky betting tips market. Safer options could include Draw No Bet on Polonia Warszawa or Double Chance 1X.