Polonia Warszawa - Miedz Legnica prediction 23 October 2026
Polonia Warszawa
Miedz LegnicaPolonia WarszawaMiedz Legnica
Pogon Grodzisk MazowieckiPolonia WarszawaArka GdyniaPolonia WarszawaJagiellonia BialystokPolonia WarszawaPolonia WarszawaChrobry GlogowPolonia WarszawaPolonia BytomStal RzeszowPolonia WarszawaGornik PolkowicePolonia WarszawaPolonia WarszawaLechia GdanskBruk-Bet Termalica NiecieczaPolonia WarszawaPogon SiedlcePolonia WarszawaPolonia WarszawaRuch ChorzowPolonia WarszawaUnia SkierniewicePuszcza NiepolomicePolonia WarszawaPolonia WarszawaFastav ZlinPolonia WarszawaMiedz LegnicaMiedz LegnicaStal MielecOdra OpoleMiedz LegnicaZaglebie LubinMiedz LegnicaMiedz LegnicaStal RzeszowLechia GdanskMiedz LegnicaMiedz LegnicaChrobry GlogowMiedz LegnicaChrobry GlogowMiedz LegnicaWarta PoznanMiedz LegnicaArka GdyniaUnia SkierniewiceMiedz LegnicaMiedz LegnicaPogon Grodzisk MazowieckiRuch ChorzowMiedz LegnicaMiedz LegnicaPodbeskidzie Bielsko-BialaMiedz LegnicaBanik OstravaPolonia WarszawaMiedz LegnicaPolonia WarszawaMiedz LegnicaMiedz LegnicaPolonia WarszawaMiedz LegnicaPolonia WarszawaMiedz LegnicaPolonia WarszawaPolonia WarszawaMiedz Legnica| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | +8 | 21 |
| 2 |  Ruch Chorzow | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16:11 | +5 | 21 |
| 3 | Polonia Warszawa | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19:14 | +5 | 21 |
| 4 |  LKS Lodz | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 15:11 | +4 | 21 |
| 5 |  Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:17 | +2 | 20 |
| 6 |  Lechia Gdansk | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 22:19 | +3 | 19 |
| 7 | Miedz Legnica | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:11 | +7 | 18 |
| 8 |  Warta Poznan | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 19:16 | +3 | 18 |
| 9 |  Polonia Bytom | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 20:20 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 |  Stal Rzeszow | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16:22 | -6 | 17 |
| 11 |  Pogon Siedlce | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |  Arka Gdynia | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16:16 | 0 | 14 |
| 13 |  Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biala | 12 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 15:16 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 |  Chrobry Glogow | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 13 |
| 15 |  Stal Mielec | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:27 | -11 | 13 |
| 16 |  Puszcza Niepolomice | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 13:17 | -4 | 12 |
| 17 |  Odra Opole | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8:13 | -5 | 12 |
| 18 |  Unia Skierniewice | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 |
Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica Prediction (Oct 23)
Our Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica prediction for the I Liga match on October 23, 2026, at 17:00 leans towards a home win. Polonia Warszawa has a calculated 44% chance of winning, while Miedz Legnica sits at 26%, with a draw probability of 30%, making the hosts the clear favourites based on form and standings.
Team Form
Polonia Warszawa are in excellent shape. Their last five results read W, W, W, W, D, giving them a 4-1-0 record in that period. This run includes three consecutive away wins in the I Liga against Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Arka Gdynia, and a solid home victory over Chrobry Glogow. They have momentum and confidence.
Miedz Legnica are struggling badly. Their last five results are W, L, L, L, L, meaning four defeats in five matches. After a 3-0 home win against Stal Mielec, they lost to Odra Opole, Stal Rzeszow, and Lechia Gdansk, conceding in every defeat. This poor run raises serious questions about their ability to get a result away from home.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record between these two sides is tight. In the last five meetings, Polonia Warszawa have 1 win, Miedz Legnica have 2 wins, and there have been 2 draws. The most recent clash, on March 21, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw in this stadium. The two matches before that both finished 1-1, showing how evenly matched they have been historically.
League Table Positions
Polonia Warszawa occupy 2nd place in the I Liga with 20 points from 11 matches (6 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses). Their home record is not available in the standings, but overall they have scored 18 and conceded 13. Miedz Legnica sit 6th with 17 points (5 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses), scoring 17 and conceding 10. Away from home, Polonia Warszawa are ranked 2nd in the league with 12 points from 6 games (4 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses), which is a significant advantage against a Miedz Legnica side whose away standing is not listed in the top eight.
Win Probability: Polonia Warszawa or Miedz Legnica?
Polonia Warszawa has a 44% chance of winning. The draw is at 30%, and Miedz Legnica has a 26% chance. These calculations are based on the available odds (implied probabilities from 1.98 and 3.30), adjusted for Polonia Warszawa's superior current form and their strong 2nd-ranked away record, against Miedz Legnica's four losses in five games. Polonia Warszawa are the more likely winners.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see Polonia Warszawa as favourites. The best available home win odds are 1.98, the draw is at 2.50, and an away win for Miedz Legnica is priced at 3.40. Based on the stats, a home win is the most probable outcome. Our Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica prediction is a 2-1 victory for the hosts.
Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica โ FAQ
- Who will win Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica?
- Polonia Warszawa are the more likely winners with a 44% probability. Miedz Legnica have a 26% chance, and the draw is at 30%, based on odds and current form.
- What is the win probability for Polonia Warszawa?
- Polonia Warszawa have a 44% chance to win. This is calculated from bookmaker odds of 1.98, adjusted for their strong run of four wins in five games and Miedz Legnica's poor form.
- When is the Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica match?
- The match is on October 23, 2026, at 17:00 local time. It is an I Liga fixture, the second tier of Polish football.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The latest odds are 1.98 for a Polonia Warszawa win, 2.50 for the draw, and 3.40 for a Miedz Legnica victory. These odds make the home side the clear favourite.