Cuiaba MT - Ponte Preta SP prediction 3 October 2026
Cuiaba MT
Ponte Preta SP
Londrina PRCuiaba MTCuiaba MTAvai SCVila Nova GOCuiaba MTCuiaba MTPonte Preta SPCRB ALCuiaba MTCuiaba MTNautico PEGremio Novorizontino SPCuiaba MTCuiaba MTAthletic Club MGCriciuma SCCuiaba MTBotafogo SPCuiaba MTCuiaba MTGoias GOCuiaba MTOperario PRCeara CECuiaba MTCuiaba MTFortaleza CESport Recife PECuiaba MTPonte Preta SPFortaleza CEPonte Preta SPAtletico Goianiense GOGremio Novorizontino SPPonte Preta SPPonte Preta SPJuventude RSCuiaba MTPonte Preta SPBotafogo SPPonte Preta SPPonte Preta SPCRB ALLondrina PRPonte Preta SPSport Recife PEPonte Preta SPPonte Preta SPSao Bernardo SPAmerica Mineiro MGPonte Preta SPPonte Preta SPAvai SCVila Nova GOPonte Preta SPPonte Preta SPNautico PECeara CEPonte Preta SP- 30RaulM
- 1Joรฃo CarlosG
- 77Jean DiasM
- 2Igor InocรชncioM
- 5CalebeD
- 14EricD
- 41KauanM
- 20David MiguelM
- 91LuisรฃoD
- 36LorenzoM
- 90Fรกbio GomesF
- 27Rodrigo Farofa
- 53Weverson
- 11Eliel
- Joรฃo Vitor
- 96Pedro Henrique
- 29Vinicius Peixoto
- 12Busatto
- 97Luiz Otรกvio
- 70Wesley Dias
- 13Diego PorfรญrioD
- 18David da HoraM
- 9BrandรฃoF
- ViniciusG
- 23S. PalaciosD
- 2JulioM
- 44Gustavo AlmeidaD
- 6JuanM
- 1Guilherme Viana
- 17Nicolas Silva
- 17Miguel
- 35Gustavo Lopes
- 5Rodrigo Souza
Cuiaba MTPonte Preta SPPonte Preta SPCuiaba MTPonte Preta SPCuiaba MTCuiaba MTPonte Preta SPPonte Preta SPCuiaba MTCuiaba MTPonte Preta SPPonte Preta SPCuiaba MT| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gremio Novorizontino SP | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 62:30 | +32 | 64 |
| 2 |  Vila Nova GO | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 50:36 | +14 | 62 |
| 3 |  Juventude | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 41:23 | +18 | 61 |
| 4 |  Fortaleza CE | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 43:31 | +12 | 61 |
| 5 |  Criciuma SC | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 36:30 | +6 | 59 |
| 6 |  CRB | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 53:49 | +4 | 55 |
| 7 |  Sport Recife PE | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 47:38 | +9 | 54 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense GO | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 42:33 | +9 | 54 |
| 9 |  Operario-PR | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 45:46 | -1 | 51 |
| 10 |  Goias GO | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 34:40 | -6 | 49 |
| 11 |  Sao Bernardo SP | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 49:39 | +10 | 49 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 40:38 | +2 | 47 |
| 13 | Cuiaba MT | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 32:27 | +5 | 47 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 40:40 | 0 | 44 |
| 15 |  Nautico PE | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 43 |
| 16 |  Ceara CE | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 33:45 | -12 | 37 |
| 18 |  Londrina PR | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 44:51 | -7 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro MG | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 22:54 | -32 | 20 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta SP | 35 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 21:76 | -55 | 15 |
Cuiaba MT vs Ponte Preta SP Prediction (Oct 3, 2026)
The Cuiaba MT vs Ponte Preta SP prediction for the Serie B match on October 3, 2026, strongly favors the home side. Cuiaba MT enters this clash with a 64% win probability, while Ponte Preta SP faces an uphill battle at Arena Pantanal, where the kick-off is set for 21:00 local time.
Team Form
Cuiaba MT's recent form has been mixed but shows clear home strength. Their last five results:
- Sep 27: CRB AL 3-0 Cuiaba MT (L)
- Sep 22: Cuiaba MT 3-0 Nautico PE (W)
- Sep 13: Gremio Novorizontino SP 1-1 Cuiaba MT (D)
- Sep 9: Cuiaba MT 3-0 Athletic Club MG (W)
- Sep 4: Criciuma SC 2-0 Cuiaba MT (L)
Both victories came at home with clean sheets, highlighting their dominance at Arena Pantanal. In contrast, Ponte Preta SP is in dreadful form with four losses in five outings:
- Sep 29: Botafogo SP 2-0 Ponte Preta SP (L)
- Sep 20: Ponte Preta SP 1-0 CRB AL (W)
- Sep 15: Londrina PR 6-0 Ponte Preta SP (L)
- Sep 11: Sport Recife PE 2-0 Ponte Preta SP (L)
- Sep 6: Ponte Preta SP 0-2 Sao Bernardo SP (L)
The away defeats have been particularly heavy, conceding 10 goals in the last three road trips.
Head-to-Head Record
The overall head-to-head record is evenly split with two wins apiece and two draws. The most recent meetings:
- Jun 9, 2026: Ponte Preta SP 1-2 Cuiaba MT
- Jan 11, 2021: Ponte Preta SP 2-2 Cuiaba MT
- Oct 9, 2020: Cuiaba MT 2-1 Ponte Preta SP
- Sep 28, 2019: Ponte Preta SP 3-0 Cuiaba MT
- Jun 1, 2019: Cuiaba MT 1-3 Ponte Preta SP
Cuiaba MT won the latest encounter away from home, giving them a psychological edge.
League Table Positions
In the Serie B standings, Cuiaba MT sits 10th with 43 points from 30 matches (10 wins, 13 draws, 7 losses). They have scored 30 goals and conceded 25. Ponte Preta SP is not among the top 12 teams listed, indicating they are lower in the table and likely involved in the relegation battle. The gap in league positions reinforces Cuiaba's favorite status.
Win Probability: Cuiaba MT or Ponte Preta SP?
Based on bookmaker odds, team form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, the win probabilities are: Cuiaba MT 64%, draw 28%, Ponte Preta SP 8%. The odds heavily favor the home side, and Cuiaba's strong home performances (two 3-0 wins in recent home games) contrast sharply with Ponte Preta's away struggles. Therefore, Cuiaba MT is the clear favorite to win this match.
Odds & Match Prediction
The latest odds from bookmakers show a home win for Cuiaba MT priced between 1.17 and 1.44, a draw at 2.75 to 3.10, and an away win for Ponte Preta SP at 9.75 to 19.00. These odds reflect the significant gap between the teams. Our prediction: based on the stats, Cuiaba MT is expected to win. A home victory with a clean sheet is a likely outcome, given Ponte Preta's goal-scoring difficulties away from home.
Cuiaba MT vs Ponte Preta SP โ FAQ
- Who will win Cuiaba MT vs Ponte Preta SP?
- Cuiaba MT is the strong favorite with a 64% win probability, while Ponte Preta SP has only an 8% chance. The draw is at 28%. Based on form and odds, Cuiaba MT is expected to secure the victory.
- What is the win probability for Cuiaba MT?
- Cuiaba MT has a 64% chance of winning according to our analysis, which combines bookmaker odds, recent form, and home advantage. Their strong home record and Ponte Preta's poor away form heavily influence this probability.
- When is the Cuiaba MT vs Ponte Preta SP match?
- The match takes place on October 3, 2026, at 21:00 local time (UTC+1). It is a Serie B fixture at Arena Pantanal in Cuiabรก, Mato Grosso.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Bookmakers offer odds around 1.17 to 1.44 for a Cuiaba MT win, 2.75 to 3.10 for a draw, and 9.75 to 19.00 for a Ponte Preta SP win. These odds indicate a clear favorite in the home side.
- Where is the match being played?
- The match is at Arena Pantanal in Cuiabรก, Mato Grosso, a stadium with a capacity of 44,003 and a grass surface. It is the home ground of Cuiaba MT.