Gremio Novorizontino SP - Ponte Preta SP prediction 12 October 2026
Gremio Novorizontino SP
Ponte Preta SP
Atletico Goianiense GOGremio Novorizontino SPVila Nova GOGremio Novorizontino SPGremio Novorizontino SPPonte Preta SPNautico PEGremio Novorizontino SPGremio Novorizontino SPGoias GOGremio Novorizontino SPSao Bernardo SPCeara CEGremio Novorizontino SPGremio Novorizontino SPCuiaba MTBotafogo SPGremio Novorizontino SPGremio Novorizontino SPAvai SCGremio Novorizontino SPSport Recife PEAthletic Club MGGremio Novorizontino SPGremio Novorizontino SPAmerica Mineiro MGCRB ALGremio Novorizontino SPGremio Novorizontino SPJuventude RSPonte Preta SPFortaleza CEPonte Preta SPAtletico Goianiense GOGremio Novorizontino SPPonte Preta SPPonte Preta SPJuventude RSCuiaba MTPonte Preta SPBotafogo SPPonte Preta SPPonte Preta SPCRB ALLondrina PRPonte Preta SPSport Recife PEPonte Preta SPPonte Preta SPSao Bernardo SPAmerica Mineiro MGPonte Preta SPPonte Preta SPAvai SCVila Nova GOPonte Preta SPPonte Preta SPNautico PECeara CEPonte Preta SPGremio Novorizontino SPPonte Preta SPPonte Preta SPGremio Novorizontino SPGremio Novorizontino SPPonte Preta SPPonte Preta SPGremio Novorizontino SPGremio Novorizontino SPPonte Preta SPPonte Preta SPGremio Novorizontino SPPonte Preta SPGremio Novorizontino SPGremio Novorizontino SPPonte Preta SPGremio Novorizontino SPPonte Preta SPGremio Novorizontino SPPonte Preta SPPonte Preta SPGremio Novorizontino SPGremio Novorizontino SPPonte Preta SPGremio Novorizontino SPPonte Preta SPPonte Preta SPGremio Novorizontino SPGremio Novorizontino SPPonte Preta SPGremio Novorizontino SPPonte Preta SPPonte Preta SPGremio Novorizontino SPPonte Preta SPGremio Novorizontino SPPonte Preta SPGremio Novorizontino SPPonte Preta SPGremio Novorizontino SP| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gremio Novorizontino SP | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 62:30 | +32 | 64 |
| 2 |  Vila Nova GO | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 50:36 | +14 | 62 |
| 3 |  Juventude | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 41:23 | +18 | 61 |
| 4 |  Fortaleza CE | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 43:31 | +12 | 61 |
| 5 |  Criciuma SC | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 36:30 | +6 | 59 |
| 6 |  CRB | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 53:49 | +4 | 55 |
| 7 |  Sport Recife PE | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 47:38 | +9 | 54 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense GO | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 42:33 | +9 | 54 |
| 9 |  Operario-PR | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 45:46 | -1 | 51 |
| 10 |  Goias GO | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 34:40 | -6 | 49 |
| 11 |  Sao Bernardo SP | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 49:39 | +10 | 49 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 40:38 | +2 | 47 |
| 13 |  Cuiaba MT | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 32:27 | +5 | 47 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 40:40 | 0 | 44 |
| 15 |  Nautico PE | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 43 |
| 16 |  Ceara CE | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 33:45 | -12 | 37 |
| 18 |  Londrina PR | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 44:51 | -7 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro MG | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 22:54 | -32 | 20 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta SP | 35 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 21:76 | -55 | 15 |
Gremio Novorizontino SP vs Ponte Preta SP Prediction (Oct 12)
Our Gremio Novorizontino SP vs Ponte Preta SP prediction for the Serie B match on Oct 12, 2026, at 23:00 assesses the home side as the clear favorite. Based on form, league table, and head-to-head records, Gremio Novorizontino SP has a 71% chance of winning, the draw is at 20%, and Ponte Preta SP has just a 9% chance.
Team Form
Gremio Novorizontino SP comes into this match in strong shape. Their last five Serie B results show two wins, two draws, and only one loss (W, W, D, L, D). In their most recent match on Oct 8, they beat Nautico PE 0-2 away. Over these five matches, they scored 7 goals and conceded 3, keeping two clean sheets.
Ponte Preta SP's form is poor. They have lost four of their last five matches (L, L, L, W, L), including a heavy 6-0 away defeat to Londrina PR on Sep 15. In their last outing on Oct 7, they lost 0-2 at home to Juventude RS. They have conceded 12 goals in these five games while scoring only once, failing to score in four of them.
Head-to-Head Record
Historically, Gremio Novorizontino SP leads the head-to-head with 7 wins to Ponte Preta SP's 3, with 9 draws. The last five meetings have been mixed. The most recent, on Jun 23, 2026, saw Gremio Novorizontino SP win 0-2 away. Earlier in January 2025, Ponte Preta SP won 0-1 away in the Campeonato Paulista. The overall record, and especially the result in June, favors the home team.
League Table Positions
Gremio Novorizontino SP sits 3rd in the overall Serie B table with 57 points from 32 matches (16 wins, 9 draws, 7 losses). They have a strong goal difference of +27, scoring 54 and conceding 27. At home, they are 4th, with 31 points from 16 games (9 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses). Their away form is also 2nd best in the league, with 26 points from 16 games. Ponte Preta SP's league position is not provided in the top 12. This gap in the standings underscores the difference in quality between the two teams.
Win Probability: Gremio Novorizontino SP or Ponte Preta SP?
The probability analysis heavily favors Gremio Novorizontino SP. We calculate the outcome chances as follows: Gremio Novorizontino SP has a 71% chance of winning, the draw is at 20%, and Ponte Preta SP has a 9% chance. This is based on the average bookmaker odds (inverse, normalized to 100% to account for the margin), adjusted by Gremio Novorizontino SP's superior form (two wins in five vs. one for Ponte), their dominant home record, a 3rd vs. out-of-top-12 table position, and a historical head-to-head advantage. The 6-0 defeat suffered by Ponte Preta and their goal-scoring struggles make an away win extremely unlikely.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see Gremio Novorizontino SP as the overwhelming favorite. The best available odds for a home win are as low as 1.07, with the majority around 1.25-1.30. The draw is priced between 3.30 and 3.85, while an away win for Ponte Preta SP offers long odds, from 13.00 up to 32.00. Based on the stats and these odds, our match prediction is a comfortable home victory for Gremio Novorizontino SP.
Gremio Novorizontino SP vs Ponte Preta SP โ FAQ
- Who will win Gremio Novorizontino SP vs Ponte Preta SP?
- Based on our probability calculation, Gremio Novorizontino SP has a 71% chance of winning, while Ponte Preta SP has just a 9% chance. The draw stands at 20%. This makes the home team the very strong favorite to take all three points.
- What is the win probability for Gremio Novorizontino SP?
- The win probability for Gremio Novorizontino SP is 71%. This high percentage is driven by their 3rd place league position, excellent recent form, strong head-to-head record, and the very low odds offered by bookmakers for a home victory.
- When is the Gremio Novorizontino SP vs Ponte Preta SP match?
- The match is scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, with a kick-off time of 23:00. It will be played as part of the Brazilian Serie B competition.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Odds heavily favor Gremio Novorizontino SP, with a home win priced between 1.07 and 1.30 across various bookmakers. The draw is available at odds between 3.30 and 3.85, while an away win for Ponte Preta SP is offered from 13.00 up to 32.00.
- What is the head-to-head record between Gremio Novorizontino SP and Ponte Preta SP?
- In their head-to-head history, Gremio Novorizontino SP has 7 wins, Ponte Preta SP has 3 wins, and there have been 9 draws. The most recent meeting was on Jun 23, 2026, which Gremio Novorizontino SP won 2-0 away.