| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16:9 | +7 | 21 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | +9 | 17 | |
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16:7 | +9 | 16 | |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | +7 | 14 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:12 | +4 | 13 | |
| 6 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | +3 | 13 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 11 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 | |
| 10 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 11 | |
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 10 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 | |
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 | |
| 15 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 8 | |
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 | |
| 17 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 5 | |
| 18 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2:14 | -12 | 1 |
Our Tropical Coriano vs Pontedera prediction for October 14th sees the home side as the clear favorite with a 50% win probability. The Serie D clash kicks off at 14:00, and based on recent form, Tropical Coriano look well-placed to take all three points against a struggling Pontedera side.
Tropical Coriano's last five matches (D, W, L, L, D) show inconsistency but also a resilience that has earned them two draws. Their most recent outing was a 0-0 home stalemate with Crema 1908 on October 11. Prior to that, they grabbed a 1-0 away win at OltrepoVoghera, then lost 1-2 at home to Lentigione, fell 0-1 away to Cittadella Vis Modena, and drew 1-1 at home with Citta di Varese. At home this season they have drawn twice and lost once, failing to keep a clean sheet in two of those three fixtures.
Pontedera come into the match in disastrous form, having lost all of their last five matches (L, L, L, L, L). They have conceded 14 goals in that run while scoring only three. The sequence includes a 0-2 defeat at Lentigione, a 0-3 home loss to Citta di Varese, a 0-3 reverse at Pro Sesto, a 2-3 home loss to Pro Patria, and a 1-3 defeat at Castellanzese 1921. On the road they have lost every match, conceding at least two goals each time.
There are no previous meetings between Tropical Coriano and Pontedera. This will be the first competitive clash between the two Serie D sides.
The provided league table data shows only the top 12 teams in Serie D, and neither Tropical Coriano nor Pontedera are present. This suggests both clubs currently occupy lowerโhalf positions, with Pontedera likely nearer the foot of the table given their dire form.
We calculate the outcome probabilities as: Tropical Coriano win โ 50%, draw โ 28%, Pontedera win โ 22%. These figures are built from the inverse of the latest bookmaker odds (home 2.12, draw 3.05, away 3.10), normalized to remove margin, then adjusted based on recent results and home advantage. The base implied probabilities were 42% home, 29% draw, 29% away; Pontederaโs fiveโmatch losing streak, with heavy goals conceded away from home, sharply reduces their chances, while Tropical Corianoโs ability to pick up points at home raises the home win probability. Overall, Tropical Coriano are the more likely winners.
Bookmakers have priced a Tropical Coriano victory at odds around 2.12, a draw at 3.05, and a Pontedera win at 3.10. The odds market sees the home side as the favourite, but makes the draw and away win very close. Taking the form guide into consideration, the value lies with the home win. Our Tropical Coriano vs Pontedera prediction is a home victory, with the best betting tip being to back Tropical Coriano to win.