Beverley Town - Pontefract Collieries prediction 22 September 2026

The Beverley Town vs Pontefract Collieries prediction for this Northern Division One fixture on Sep 22 at 19:45 points to an away win. Based on the latest odds and team form, Pontefract Collieries enter the match as the favorite with a 45% chance of victory, while Beverley Town have a 25% probability of winning and the draw stands at 30%.

Team Form

Beverley Town's recent form has been inconsistent. In their last four matches, they recorded two wins, one draw, and one loss. They drew 2-2 away at Bradford Park Avenue on Sep 15, beat Garforth Town 2-1 on Sep 8, lost 1-0 to North Ferriby United on Aug 31, and defeated Ossett United 2-1 at home on Aug 25. That run shows they can score but also concede, with both teams finding the net in three of those four games.

Pontefract Collieries have played five recent matches across all competitions, winning three and losing two. They beat Blyth Spartans 2-1 at home on Sep 15, lost 1-0 at Ossett United in the FA Cup on Sep 4, thrashed Liversedge 5-0 at home on Aug 31, demolished Padiham 7-0 away in the FA Trophy on Aug 29, and lost 3-1 at home to Guiseley in a friendly on Jul 28. Their attacking output is impressive, with 15 goals in those five games, though defensive lapses have appeared in defeats.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no previous head-to-head record between Beverley Town and Pontefract Collieries. The two sides have never met in a competitive fixture, making this encounter a first-time clash. With no historical data to lean on, the prediction relies more heavily on current form and bookmaker odds.

League Table Positions

Neither Beverley Town nor Pontefract Collieries appear in the top 12 of the Northern Division One overall, home, or away standings. The available table data shows the league leaders are Bury with 87 points, followed by Avro and Stalybridge Celtic. The absence of both teams from the upper echelons suggests they are mid-table or lower, though exact positions are not provided. This lack of a clear table advantage means the match is likely to be closely contested, with away form and odds carrying more weight in the prediction.

Win Probability: Beverley Town or Pontefract Collieries?

After analyzing all available data, the win probabilities are calculated as follows:

• Beverley Town win: 25%
• Draw: 30%
• Pontefract Collieries win: 45%

These percentages are derived from the bookmaker odds as a base, then adjusted for recent form and the home/away factor. The two bookmakers offering odds show differing views: one implies a tight contest with a slight away edge (home 3.50, draw 2.50, away 2.38), while the other strongly favors Pontefract Collieries (home 3.30, draw 3.90, away 1.80). Averaging the implied probabilities and removing the margin gives the away side a clear advantage. Beverley Town's home status and mixed results are not enough to overturn Pontefract Collieries' superior attacking displays and the weight of the odds. Therefore, Pontefract Collieries are more likely to win, but a draw cannot be ruled out.

Odds & Match Prediction

The latest odds for the match show variation across bookmakers. One bookmaker prices a home win at 3.50, the draw at 2.50, and an away win at 2.38. Another offers 3.30 for a Beverley Town victory, 3.90 for the draw, and a short 1.80 for a Pontefract Collieries win. These odds indicate that bookmakers see Pontefract Collieries as the favorite, especially the second bookmaker who rates their chances highly.

Our Beverley Town vs Pontefract Collieries prediction is an away win, based on the stats and odds. The 45% win probability for the visitors reflects their stronger recent goal-scoring form and the market confidence. For betting tips, the away win at odds around 1.80 to 2.38 offers value, while the draw at 3.90 could be an interesting alternative given Beverley Town's ability to share the spoils at home. As always, match outcome predictions are made using the available data and should be considered carefully.