Poprad - Tesla Stropkov prediction 3 October 2026

The Poprad vs Tesla Stropkov prediction for the 3 Liga match on October 3, 2026, points to a tight contest with the home side holding a slight edge. Kick-off is at 16:00 local time in Slovakia, and based on recent form and head-to-head records, Poprad has a 40% chance of winning, while Tesla Stropkov sits at 35% and the draw is a 25% probability.

Team Form

Poprad enter this match in poor shape, with four defeats in their last five outings (L-L-L-W-L). The only victory in that run was a 2-0 home success against Slovan Sabinov on September 5. Since then, they have lost three consecutive league matches on the road: 2-3 at Slavia, 1-2 at MFK Goral Stara Lubovna, and 0-2 at Spisska Nova Ves. A 0-2 home cup loss to Ruzomberok on September 2 completes the disappointing sequence.

Tesla Stropkov’s recent form is slightly more balanced but still unconvincing (D-W-L-L-D). They drew 1-1 at home with Odeva Lipany on September 27, thrashed Partizan Bardejov 3-0 at home on September 19, then lost 1-2 away to Spisska Nova Ves and 0-1 at home to MFK Goral Stara Lubovna. A 1-1 home cup draw against Futura Humenne on September 2 rounds off their last five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

These two sides have met seven times in recent seasons, with Tesla Stropkov leading the head-to-head by four wins to three. There have been no draws. The most recent encounter was on May 9, 2026, when Poprad won 3-0 at home in the league. Before that, Tesla Stropkov claimed a 2-1 home league win in October 2025 and a 4-2 away cup victory in September 2025. The overall goal trend in this fixture has been relatively high, with both teams scoring in four of the seven meetings.

Win Probability: Poprad or Tesla Stropkov?

After analysing the available data — recent form, head-to-head record, and home advantage — we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• Poprad win: 40%
• Draw: 25%
• Tesla Stropkov win: 35%

Poprad’s home advantage is the main factor pushing them slightly ahead, despite a terrible run of results. They won their last home league game and also beat Tesla Stropkov 3-0 in the most recent H2H meeting on this ground. However, Tesla Stropkov’s form is marginally better (one win and two draws in five, compared to Poprad’s single win), and they have historically performed well in this fixture. The absence of any draws in seven previous meetings is unusual, but both teams’ current fragility suggests a stalemate is a realistic outcome this time.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds for this fixture are not currently available. When they appear, expect Poprad to be a marginal favourite based on home field. Our Poprad vs Tesla Stropkov prediction is a cautious home win, but the data supports a very open contest. A draw would not be a surprise given both sides’ struggles for consistency. Bettors looking for betting tips should monitor team news and any late odds movement, but the underlying stats point to a low-confidence home victory.