Port Autonome - AS Bambey prediction 26 October 2026

Our Port Autonome vs AS Bambey prediction analyzes this Senegal Ligue 2 fixture scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 16:30. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head data, AS Bambey enters as the slight favorite with a calculated 42% win probability, compared to 33% for Port Autonome and a 25% chance of a draw.

Team Form

Port Autonome's last five results show inconsistency with a record of W, W, L, D, L. At home, they captured a 3-1 victory over Asec Ndiambour on Jun 3 and a 1-0 win against Amitie FC on May 9, but suffered a 1-0 loss to Ouakam in the League Cup on Mar 5. Their most recent Ligue 2 home outing ended in a 0-0 draw with AS Saloum on Mar 30, highlighting a struggle to find the net consistently.

AS Bambey's recent form reads W, W, D, D, L. They secured a 1-0 home win against AS Douanes Dakar on May 14, and an impressive 3-2 away victory at Oslo FA Dakar on Mar 16. Two prior draws—1-1 against Thies FC on Feb 16 and 0-0 versus Amitie FC on Jan 31—demonstrate resilience on the road, though a 1-0 defeat at Niarry Tally NGB Dakar on Jan 8 is a reminder of their vulnerabilities.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no direct head-to-head history between Port Autonome and AS Bambey. The record stands at 0 home wins, 0 draws, and 0 away wins, making this encounter difficult to gauge based on past meetings alone.

League Table Positions

Specific league table positions and points are not provided in the available data, so we cannot detail the exact gap between the sides. However, competing in Senegal's Ligue 2 suggests both teams operate at a similar competitive level, making recent form a key indicator.

Win Probability: Port Autonome or AS Bambey?

After calculating inverse odds from the bookmakers and normalizing to remove the margin, then adjusting for team form and home advantage, we arrive at the following win probability breakdown: Port Autonome has a 33% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and AS Bambey holds a 42% chance. This reflects AS Bambey's slightly stronger recent away performances and the edge given by the draw odds, countered by Port Autonome's home victories.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers present two distinct views on this match. One set offers odds of 3.60 for a home win, 1.83 for a draw, and 3.25 for an away win, heavily favoring the draw. Another bookmaker prices the contest tighter with 2.62 for Port Autonome, 2.75 for the draw, and 2.70 for AS Bambey. Based on the stats, AS Bambey appears the more likely winner, but a draw is a very realistic outcome given the low-scoring patterns of both teams.