Larne - Portadown prediction 30 October 2026
Larne
Portadown
Bangor FCLarneLarneLinfieldLarneColeraineCrusadersLarneCarrick RangersLarneLarneCliftonvillePortadownLarneLarneBangor FCLarneGlentoranLarneLincoln Red ImpsLincoln Red ImpsLarneColeraineLarneCrvena ZvezdaLarneLarneCrvena ZvezdaLarneTre FioriPortadownLinfieldCliftonvillePortadownPortadownGlentoranPortadownLimavady UnitedBallymena UnitedPortadownBangor FCPortadownPortadownLinfieldPortadownLarneCliftonvillePortadownPortadownColeraineCrusadersPortadownPortadownDungannon SwiftsCarrick RangersPortadownH&W WeldersPortadownColerainePortadown| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.25 | 5.50 | 9.00 | |
| 1.22 | 2.78 | 7.70 | |
| 1.20 | 2.75 | 8.00 |
PortadownLarnePortadownLarneLarnePortadownLarnePortadownLarnePortadownPortadownLarneLarnePortadownPortadownLarneLarnePortadownPortadownLarnePortadownLarneLarnePortadownPortadownLarnePortadownLarnePortadownLarnePortadownLarnePortadownLarneLarnePortadownPortadownLarnePortadownLarne| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coleraine | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 31:12 | +19 | 34 |
| 2 |  Linfield | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | +10 | 32 |
| 3 | Larne | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20:9 | +11 | 22 |
| 4 |  Glentoran | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:10 | +6 | 20 |
| 5 |  Carrick Rangers | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22:20 | +2 | 18 |
| 6 |  Ballymena United | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17:15 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 |  Cliftonville | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 16:16 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 |  Crusaders | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 16:28 | -12 | 15 |
| 9 |  Dungannon Swifts | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12:17 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 |  Limavady United | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 13 |
| 11 | Portadown | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 |
| 12 |  Bangor FC | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11:26 | -15 | 6 |
Portadown vs Larne Prediction (Sep 12)
The Portadown vs Larne prediction for September 12, 2026, points towards an away victory in the Northern Ireland Premiership. Based on the latest odds and team form, Larne enters this match as the clear favorite with an estimated 70% win probability, while bottom-placed Portadown faces an uphill battle at home.
Team Form
Portadown's recent form is a major concern. They have lost their last five matches in a row, conceding 11 goals and scoring only 3. Their latest results include a 3-1 defeat at Cliftonville and a 0-3 home loss to Coleraine. The team sits at the very bottom of the league table with zero points from five games.
Larne's form is more mixed but significantly stronger. In their last five outings, they have recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses. Notably, they secured a 2-1 home win against Glentoran in their most recent league match. Their defeats came in European qualification matches against Lincoln Red Imps and Crvena Zvezda, which are a higher level of competition than the domestic Premiership.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record heavily favors Larne. In the last 19 meetings, Larne has won 9 times, Portadown has won 4, and there have been 6 draws. The recent history is even more one-sided. Larne has won the last three encounters, including a 3-0 and a 4-0 victory in 2025. Portadown's last win against Larne was a 2-1 home result in February 2026, but that appears to be an exception in a series dominated by the away side.
League Table Positions
The league table highlights the gulf between the two sides. Portadown is 12th and last, having lost all 5 of their matches with a goal difference of -8. Larne is 8th with 4 points, but they have played only 2 league games, winning one and drawing the other. Their points-per-game ratio suggests they will quickly climb the table, while Portadown is already in a relegation battle.
Win Probability: Portadown or Larne?
After a detailed analysis, the win probabilities for this match are: Portadown win 15%, draw 15%, and Larne win 70%. This calculation uses the inverse of the best available odds as a base, then adjusts for Portadown's disastrous five-loss form and Larne's superior head-to-head record. The home advantage for Portadown is heavily discounted due to their inability to secure any points this season. Larne is the much more likely winner.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers' odds reflect the one-sided nature of this fixture. The best available odds for a Larne win are as short as 1.25, with a Portadown home win priced as high as 9.60. The draw is offered at 2.50. Based on the stats, a Larne victory is the most probable match outcome. The team's quality, combined with Portadown's dreadful form and the recent H2H results, makes it difficult to see anything other than an away win.
Portadown vs Larne โ FAQ
- Who will win Portadown vs Larne?
- Larne is the strong favorite to win this match. The calculated probabilities are 70% for a Larne victory, 15% for a draw, and 15% for a Portadown win, based on odds, team form, and head-to-head records.
- What is the win probability for Larne?
- Larne has a 70% chance of winning against Portadown. This high probability is due to Portadown's five-match losing streak and Larne's dominant record of three consecutive wins in recent head-to-head meetings.
- When is the Portadown vs Larne match?
- The match is scheduled for September 12, 2026, with a 14:00 kick-off time. It is a Northern Ireland Premiership fixture.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The best available pre-match odds are 9.60 for a Portadown home win, 2.50 for a draw, and 1.25 for a Larne away win. These odds show Larne as the overwhelming favorite.