Amarante - Portimonense prediction 10 October 2026
Amarante
Portimonense
SCU TorreenseAmaranteAcademica CoimbraAmaranteAmarantePortimonenseAD Ponte da BarcaAmaranteAmaranteUniao LeiriaLeixoesAmaranteAmaranteBenfica BVizelaAmaranteAmaranteLusitania LourosaTondelaAmaranteMoreirenseAmaranteVitoria Guimaraes BAmaranteAmaranteUD SantaremTrofenseAmaranteAmaranteCF Os BelenensesSporting Lisbon BPortimonenseFlorgradePortimonenseAmarantePortimonenseAD Castro DairePortimonensePortimonenseTondelaUniao LeiriaPortimonensePortimonenseLeixoesBenfica BPortimonensePortimonenseVizelaPenafielPortimonensePortimonenseNottingham ForestPortimonenseRio AvePortimonenseFarenseFelgueirasPortimonensePortimonenseChavesAmarantePortimonense| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lusitania Lourosa | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | +7 | 18 |
| 2 |  Sporting Lisbon B | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13:6 | +7 | 18 |
| 3 |  Penafiel | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:8 | +10 | 16 |
| 4 |  Academica Coimbra | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | +4 | 15 |
| 5 |  Farense | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Benfica B | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | +3 | 14 |
| 7 |  Avs Futebol Sad | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:8 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 |  Tondela | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9:8 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 |  Vizela | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Uniao Leiria | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Leixoes | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Portimonense | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Chaves | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |  Porto B | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:15 | -8 | 8 |
| 15 |  Felgueiras | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 |  SCU Torreense | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Amarante | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |  CB Feirense | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2:10 | -8 | 2 |
Amarante vs Portimonense Prediction (Oct 10)
The Amarante vs Portimonense prediction for this Segunda Liga clash on Oct 10, 2026, at 14:00 points to a tightly balanced contest. Based on our win probability calculations, Amarante has a 36% chance to win, the draw is at 35%, and Portimonense holds a 29% chance.
Team Form
Amarante
Amarante's last five matches show a mixed run with two wins, two draws, and one loss. Highlights include a 2-0 cup victory away at AD Ponte da Barca and a 1-0 home win against Benfica B. Their most recent home league match ended in a 2-2 draw with Uniao Leiria.
- Sep 20: AD Ponte da Barca 0-2 Amarante (W)
- Sep 13: Amarante 2-2 Uniao Leiria (D)
- Sep 6: Leixoes 3-1 Amarante (L)
- Aug 30: Amarante 1-0 Benfica B (W)
- Aug 22: Vizela 0-0 Amarante (D)
Portimonense
Portimonense has struggled, managing only one win in their last five across all competitions. That win came in the cup against lower-league AD Castro Daire. In the league, they have suffered three defeats and secured a single draw, with only two goals scored in those four Segunda Liga matches.
- Sep 19: AD Castro Daire 0-1 Portimonense (W)
- Sep 12: Portimonense 0-2 Tondela (L)
- Sep 6: Uniao Leiria 1-0 Portimonense (L)
- Aug 29: Portimonense 0-2 Leixoes (L)
- Aug 21: Benfica B 1-1 Portimonense (D)
Head-to-Head Record
There is no head-to-head history between Amarante and Portimonense. This will be the first competitive meeting recorded in the data.
League Table Positions
Portimonense currently sits 11th in the Segunda Liga standings with 7 points from six matches (2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses), scoring 4 goals and conceding 6. Amarante's league position is not available in the supplied table, so a direct comparison cannot be made.
Win Probability: Amarante or Portimonense?
Bookmaker odds were used as the baseline. The average odds (home 2.53, draw 2.21, away 3.17) gave implied probabilities of 34% for Amarante, 39% for the draw, and 27% for Portimonense after removing the margin. By adjusting for recent form and home advantage โ Amarante has been more stable, especially at home, while Portimonenseโs away form is weak โ we settle on final probabilities. Amaranteโs win probability is 36%, the draw remains high at 35%, and Portimonenseโs chance is 29%. Amarante is therefore the marginal favorite, but a stalemate is almost equally likely.
Odds & Match Prediction
The market sees this as an open match. The best available odds for a home win range from 2.45 to 2.69, the draw from 2.00 to 3.17, and an away victory from 2.89 to 3.50. Based on the stats, our Amarante vs Portimonense prediction leans towards a draw, though Amaranteโs slightly better form and home soil give them the edge to potentially snatch all three points. A cautious 1-0 or 1-1 scoreline seems the most likely outcome.
Amarante vs Portimonense โ FAQ
- Who will win Amarante vs Portimonense?
- Amarante is the slight favorite with a 36% win probability. The draw is at 35%, and Portimonense has a 29% chance. The match is expected to be very tight, with no clear dominant side.
- What is the win probability for Amarante?
- Amarante has a 36% chance to win. This is based on bookmaker odds adjusted for their recent home form (W,D,L,W,D) and the fact that Portimonense has struggled on the road.
- When is the Amarante vs Portimonense match?
- The match takes place on Oct 10, 2026, at 14:00 local time. It is a Segunda Liga fixture from Portugal.
- What are the odds for Amarante vs Portimonense?
- Average market odds are around 2.53 for an Amarante win, 2.21 for the draw, and 3.17 for a Portimonense victory. Individual bookmaker odds range from 2.45 to 2.69 for the home win and 2.89 to 3.50 for the away side.
- What is the head-to-head record between Amarante and Portimonense?
- There are no recorded previous meetings between the two clubs. This will be their first head-to-head encounter in the available data.