Portimonense - Tondela prediction 12 September 2026
Portimonense
Tondela
Sporting Lisbon BPortimonenseFlorgradePortimonenseAmarantePortimonenseAD Castro DairePortimonensePortimonenseTondelaUniao LeiriaPortimonensePortimonenseLeixoesBenfica BPortimonensePortimonenseVizelaPenafielPortimonensePortimonenseNottingham ForestPortimonenseRio AvePortimonenseFarenseFelgueirasPortimonensePortimonenseChavesAvs Futebol SadTondelaTondelaAlvercaTondelaSCU TorreenseImortalTondelaPortimonenseTondelaTondelaPorto BUniao LeiriaTondelaTondelaAcademica CoimbraLeixoesTondelaTondelaAmaranteRio AveTondelaAroucaTondelaTondelaMoreirenseCasa PiaTondelaSporting LisbonTondela- 1DuduG
- 10S. NakajimaF
- 18Tiago FerreiraF
- 73Marlon JรบniorD
- 19Midana CassamaF
- 17Joรฃo ReisD
- 8Joรฃo CasimiroM
- 3Jarleysom AmurimD
- 2EdneyF
- 6S. NevesD
- 15XavierM
- 9S. Yรฉpiรฉ Yรฉpiรฉ
- 65Wellington
- 36Thauan Lara
- 88Jader
- 4Italo Cabelinho
- 21Yanis da Rocha
- 80Felipe Favero
- 7Danio Djassi
- 5G. Tunguliyadi
- 70G. Aguas
- 93Welinton Jรบnior
- 12Zรฉ RicardoD
- 4Christian MarquesD
- 5FarruD
- 20Hugo FรฉlixM
- 26A. van der HeideF
- 7CascavelM
- 15CarraรงaD
- 19TรณmanรฉF
- 8Hรฉlder TavaresM
- 28Araujo CarlosG
- 13S. Sithole
- 14Xabi Huarte
- 1Lucas Caรฑizares
- 9Joรฃo Lima
- 23B. Medina
- 5Joรฃo Afonso
- 2Bebeto
- 77Tiago Dias
- 22B. Almeida
- 21G. Ramalho
- 11Alves Richarllyson Carvalho
PortimonenseTondelaPortimonenseTondelaTondelaPortimonensePortimonenseTondelaPortimonenseTondelaTondelaPortimonensePortimonenseTondelaTondelaPortimonensePortimonenseTondelaTondelaPortimonenseTondelaPortimonensePortimonenseTondelaPortimonenseTondelaPortimonenseTondelaTondelaPortimonenseTondelaPortimonensePortimonenseTondelaPortimonenseTondela| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lusitania Lourosa | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | +7 | 18 |
| 2 |  Sporting Lisbon B | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13:6 | +7 | 18 |
| 3 |  Penafiel | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:8 | +10 | 16 |
| 4 |  Academica Coimbra | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | +4 | 15 |
| 5 |  Farense | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Benfica B | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | +3 | 14 |
| 7 |  Avs Futebol Sad | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:8 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 | Tondela | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9:8 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 |  Vizela | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Uniao Leiria | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Leixoes | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Portimonense | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Chaves | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |  Porto B | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:15 | -8 | 8 |
| 15 |  Felgueiras | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 |  SCU Torreense | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 |  Amarante | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |  CB Feirense | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2:10 | -8 | 2 |
Portimonense vs Tondela Prediction (Sep 12, 2026)
The Portimonense vs Tondela prediction for September 12, 2026, in Portugal's Segunda Liga points to a draw as the most probable result. Both teams enter this match with similar recent form, and the head-to-head record is evenly split. Our analysis gives Portimonense a 30% chance of winning, Tondela a 30% chance, and a draw a 40% probability.
Team Form
Portimonense's last five results: L, D, W, W, L. They have won two, drawn one, and lost two of those matches, scoring 5 goals and conceding 5. At home, they were beaten 0-2 by Leixoes but defeated Vizela 2-0 in their most recent league home game. Their overall form is inconsistent, with no clear momentum.
Tondela's last five form reads: W, L, L, L, W. That's two wins and three losses, with 5 goals scored and 6 conceded. Away from home, they have lost their last two away matches in the league, falling 0-2 at Uniao Leiria and 0-1 at Leixoes. Their away form is a concern.
Head-to-Head Record
The overall head-to-head between Portimonense and Tondela shows 7 wins for Portimonense, 3 draws, and 7 wins for Tondela. In recent meetings, Tondela have had a slight edge: they won 2-0 in December 2024 and 2-1 in January 2022, while Portimonense won 3-0 in August 2021. The most recent clash, on April 27, 2025, ended in a 2-2 draw.
League Table Positions
In the Segunda Liga standings, Portimonense sit 9th with 7 points from 5 games (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, goal difference 0). Tondela are 12th with 6 points (2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses, goal difference -1). The home side holds a slight advantage in the table, but both teams are mid-table and separated by just one point.
Win Probability: Portimonense or Tondela?
We calculate the probabilities based on bookmaker odds (1X2: 3.80, 2.08, 2.58), recent form, head-to-head record, and home advantage. After removing the bookmaker margin and adjusting for form, the outcome probabilities are: Portimonense win 30%, draw 40%, Tondela win 30%. The draw is the most likely single result, reflecting the evenness of the matchup and Tondela's poor away form balancing Portimonense's inconsistent home displays.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see the draw as the favorite, offering odds as low as 2.08. A home win is priced at 3.80, while an away win is at 2.58. These odds imply a draw probability of around 42%, which aligns with our analysis. Based on the stats, a draw is the safest prediction, but the match is wide open and could tip either way. The most likely scoreline might be a low-scoring draw, given both teams' recent goal outputs.
Portimonense vs Tondela โ FAQ
- Who will win Portimonense vs Tondela?
- The match is highly even, with both teams having a 30% chance of winning. The draw is the most likely outcome at 40%, so no clear winner is expected.
- What is the win probability for Tondela?
- Tondela has a 30% chance of winning this match. Bookmakers give them slightly better odds than the home side, but their poor away form and the head-to-head record suggest a low-scoring affair with a draw as the most probable result.
- When is the Portimonense vs Tondela match?
- The match is scheduled for September 12, 2026, at 10:00. It is a Segunda Liga fixture from Portugal.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The odds for the 1X2 market are: Portimonense home win 3.80, draw 2.08, Tondela away win 2.58. These odds imply the draw is the most likely outcome.
- What is the head-to-head record between Portimonense and Tondela?
- In 17 previous meetings, Portimonense have won 7, Tondela have won 7, and there have been 3 draws. The most recent match ended in a 2-2 draw in April 2025.