Portland Timbers II - Saint Louis II prediction 17 October 2026

Our Portland Timbers II vs Saint Louis II prediction for the MLS Next Pro match on Sep 14, 2026, at 20:00 points to a tight contest. Based on the latest odds, team form, and league standings, Portland Timbers II enter as slight favorites with a 38% win probability, while Saint Louis II have a 27% chance and the draw stands at 35%.

Team Form

Portland Timbers II come into this match unbeaten in their last five outings, but with a pattern of draws: D, W, D, W, D. Their most recent result was a 0-0 home draw against Vancouver Whitecaps II on Sep 7. Over that five-game stretch, they scored 5 goals and conceded 3, showing defensive solidity but a lack of cutting edge in the final third.

Saint Louis II have also avoided defeat in their last five away matches, recording W, D, D, W, D. Their latest trip ended in a 2-1 win at Sporting Kansas City II on Sep 6. They netted 7 goals across those five games, conceding 4, indicating a slightly more potent attack on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last five meetings between these sides, Saint Louis II hold a narrow edge with 3 wins to Portland Timbers II's 2, and no draws. The most recent clash was on Jul 18, 2026, when Portland Timbers II won 2-1 away. Historically, goals have flowed in this fixture, with both teams scoring in four of those five matches and an average of 3.8 total goals per game.

League Table Positions

Portland Timbers II sit 3rd in the MLS Next Pro overall standings with 54 points from 26 matches (18 wins, 0 draws, 8 losses). They have scored 35 goals and conceded 27. Saint Louis II are 10th with 42 points (14 wins, 0 draws, 12 losses), scoring 41 and conceding 37. Notably, Portland Timbers II boast the best away record in the league (11 wins from 13), but this fixture is at home, where they are not ranked in the top eight. Saint Louis II’s away form is mid-table, with 14 wins overall but a negative goal difference on the road.

Win Probability: Portland Timbers II or Saint Louis II?

After analyzing all available data, we calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: Portland Timbers II win – 38%, draw – 35%, Saint Louis II win – 27%. These percentages are derived from the average bookmaker odds (home 2.40, draw 2.31, away 2.88), normalized to remove the margin, and then adjusted for league position, recent form, and head-to-head record. Portland’s higher table standing and home advantage give them the edge, but their tendency to draw and Saint Louis’ resilient away form make a stalemate a very realistic outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as an open contest. The average odds are 2.40 for a Portland Timbers II victory, 2.31 for the draw, and 2.88 for an away win. This implies a tight market with the draw priced as the most likely single result. Our Portland Timbers II vs Saint Louis II prediction leans towards a home win, but with low confidence given the high draw probability. For betting tips, the draw or a Portland win with a +0.5 Asian handicap could offer value. Based on the stats, a 1-1 or 2-1 scoreline appears plausible.