Wales - Portugal prediction 17 November 2026
Wales
PortugalWales
DenmarkWalesNorwayDenmarkWalesPortugalWalesRomaniaWalesWalesGhanaWalesNorthern IrelandWalesBosnia-HerzegovinaEnglandWalesWalesCanadaWalesIcelandTurkeyWalesWalesMontenegroWalesGibraltarWalesKorea RepublicPortugalNorwayDenmarkPortugalNorwayPortugalPortugalWalesPortugalSpainPortugalCroatiaColombiaPortugalPortugalUzbekistanPortugalCongo DRPortugalNigeriaPortugalChileUSAPortugalMexicoPortugalPortugalSpainGermanyPortugalPortugalWales| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 |  Montenegro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | +3 | 10 |
| 3 |  France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 |  Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |  Switzerland | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | +7 | 9 |
| 6 |  Spain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | +6 | 9 |
| 7 |  Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | +2 | 8 |
| 8 |  Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 8 |
| 9 |  Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | +4 | 8 |
| 10 |  Bosnia-Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | +3 | 8 |
| 11 |  Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 8 |
| 12 |  Finland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:1 | +8 | 7 |
| 13 |  Malta | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Iceland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | +6 | 7 |
| 15 |  Slovakia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | +2 | 7 |
| 17 |  Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 7 |
| 18 |  Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 7 |
| 19 |  England | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | +8 | 6 |
| 20 |  Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 6 |
| 21 |  Albania | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 |
| 22 |  Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | +1 | 6 |
| 23 |  Azerbaijan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 24 |  Estonia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 25 |  Kosovo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
| 26 |  Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 5 |
| 27 |  Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | +2 | 5 |
| 28 |  Slovenia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 |
| 29 |  Lithuania | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 |
| 30 |  Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 31 |  Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 32 |  Belarus | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | +2 | 4 |
| 33 |  Scotland | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 34 |  Moldova | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 35 |  Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | +3 | 4 |
| 36 |  Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 37 |  Luxembourg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 38 |  Croatia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:12 | -9 | 3 |
| 39 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 40 |  Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 41 |  Gibraltar | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 42 |  Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 43 |  Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 44 |  Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
| 45 |  Liechtenstein | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 46 |  Andorra | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 47 |  Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 48 |  Bulgaria | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 49 |  North Macedonia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
| 50 |  San Marino | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:14 | -14 | 0 |
| 51 |  Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 0 |
| 52 |  Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
| 53 |  Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | -10 | 0 |
| 54 |  Turkey | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 0 |
Portugal vs Wales Prediction (Sep 24)
The Portugal vs Wales prediction is for the UEFA Nations League match on September 24, 2026, at Estรกdio Josรฉ Alvalade in Lisbon. Portugal are overwhelming favorites with a 70% win probability, while Wales hold just an 8% chance.
Team Form
Portugal's last five matches produced a record of L-W-D-W-D. They beat Croatia 2-1 and Uzbekistan 5-0, drew 0-0 with Colombia and 1-1 with Congo DR, and lost 0-1 to Spain. At home, they have scored eight goals in their last two, showing strong attacking intent. In contrast, Wales have gone winless in five (L-D-D-D-L). They lost 2-1 to Romania, 3-0 to England, and drew 1-1 with Ghana, Northern Ireland, and Bosnia-Herzegovina. They have managed just three goals in those five matches while conceding seven, highlighting a lack of cutting edge.
Head-to-Head Record
The available data shows no prior meetings between Portugal and Wales. The head-to-head record stands at 0 wins for either side and 0 draws, so this match will be their first official encounter.
League Table Positions
As the UEFA Nations League group stage has not yet begun, no points have been accumulated. Portugal is listed 11th in the overall standings, while Wales does not appear among the top twelve teams. League positions therefore provide no meaningful insight.
Win Probability: Portugal or Wales?
Our probability model, built on bookmaker odds and recent form, assigns Portugal a 70% chance of winning, a 22% probability for the draw, and Wales an 8% chance. The odds heavily favor Portugal, and their stronger recent performances, combined with home advantage, support this assessment. Wales' poor away form and inability to win in five games make an upset extremely unlikely.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers offer home win odds ranging from 1.18 to 1.25, making Portugal strong favorites. The draw is priced between 2.62 and 3.00, while an away win for Wales is available from 7.50 to 11.00. Based on the stats and the betting tips, the match outcome prediction is a Portugal win. A lowโscoring game is possible, given Wales' recent struggles in front of goal.
Portugal vs Wales โ FAQ
- Who will win Portugal vs Wales?
- Portugal are the clear favorites with a 70% chance of winning, while Wales has just an 8% chance. The draw stands at 22%. Based on current form and bookmaker odds, Portugal are expected to win.
- What is the win probability for Portugal?
- Portugal have a 70% probability of winning. This figure comes from normalizing bookmaker odds (removing the margin) and adjusting for the teamโs dominant home form and Walesโ winless streak.
- When is the Portugal vs Wales match?
- The match kicks off on September 24, 2026, at 19:45 local time at Estรกdio Josรฉ Alvalade in Lisbon. It is a UEFA Nations League fixture.
- What are the odds for Portugal vs Wales?
- The best available odds show Portugal as heavy favorites at 1.18โ1.25 for a home win. The draw is offered at 2.62โ3.00, and a Wales away win is a long shot at 7.50โ11.00.
- Have Portugal and Wales played each other before?
- The official head-to-head data contains zero wins for either team and zero draws, indicating that there have been no previous meetings between Portugal and Wales.