Provincial Ovalle - Deportes Colina prediction 7 September 2026
Provincial Ovalle
Deportes ColinaProvincial Ovalle
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Provincial Osorno | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 15:5 | +10 | 24 |
| 2 |  Municipal Salamanca | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 11:5 | +6 | 22 |
| 3 |  Colchagua | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 15:11 | +4 | 22 |
| 4 |  Concon National | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | +6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Santiago City | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 18:19 | -1 | 20 |
| 6 |  Linares Unido | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16:12 | +4 | 19 |
| 7 |  Trasandino | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19:17 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 |  Velasquez | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 16 |
| 9 |  Real San Joaquin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 |  Lota Schwager | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Deportes Colina | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15:14 | +1 | 12 |
| 12 |  Deportes Rengo | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:17 | -7 | 11 |
| 13 |  Santiago Morning | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Provincial Ovalle | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11:24 | -13 | 6 |
Provincial Ovalle vs Deportes Colina Prediction (Sep 07)
The Provincial Ovalle vs Deportes Colina prediction for the Segunda Division match on Sep 07, 2026, at 21:00 points to a tight contest. Based on the latest odds, form, and head-to-head record, Deportes Colina holds a slight edge with a 37% win probability, while Provincial Ovalle has a 30% chance and the draw is at 33%.
Team Form
Provincial Ovalle enters this match with a mixed recent record: D, D, L, W, L in their last five outings. Their only win in that stretch was a 2-1 home victory over Deportes Colina on Jul 04. The two draws came against Santiago Morning (0-0) and Real San Joaquin (1-1), while losses were 0-1 to Velasquez and 2-3 to Santiago City.
Deportes Colina's form is D, L, L, W, L. They managed a 5-1 home win against Real San Joaquin but lost to Santiago Morning (1-2) and Deportes Rengo (0-1), and drew 0-0 with Lota Schwager. Both sides have struggled for consistency, making this fixture difficult to call.
Head-to-Head Record
The overall head-to-head record favours Deportes Colina: 5 wins to Provincial Ovalle's 3, with 1 draw. The most recent meeting was on Jul 04, 2026, when Ovalle won 2-1 at home. Before that, Colina secured a 2-0 home win in May 2026. The historical data suggests Colina often performs well in this fixture, even when playing away.
League Table Positions
In the current Segunda Division standings, Deportes Colina sits 11th with 12 points from 12 matches (3W, 3D, 6L, goals 15:14). Provincial Ovalle is not among the top 12 teams in the provided table, indicating they are placed lower in the division.
Win Probability: Provincial Ovalle or Deportes Colina?
After normalising the bookmaker odds (average home 2.81, draw 2.26, away 2.67) and adjusting for head-to-head trends and recent form, we calculate the chances as follows: Provincial Ovalle 30%, Draw 33%, Deportes Colina 37%. The draw is the single most likely outcome according to the raw odds, but the adjustment for Colina's historical away edge pushes them slightly ahead. The match is expected to be close, with a low margin for error.
Odds & Match Prediction
The best available odds from the data are: home win 3.00, draw 2.85, away win 2.90. Bookmakers see the draw as a strong possibility, but the statistics point to a narrow Deportes Colina advantage. Based on the stats, our prediction is that Deportes Colina is marginally more likely to win, but a draw should not be ruled out. Both teams have leaky defences, so a low-scoring affair is probable.
Provincial Ovalle vs Deportes Colina โ FAQ
- Who will win Provincial Ovalle vs Deportes Colina?
- Deportes Colina has a 37% chance of winning, making them the slight favourite. Provincial Ovalle has a 30% probability, and the draw is at 33%. This is a closely matched encounter, so any outcome is possible.
- What is the win probability for Deportes Colina?
- Deportes Colina has a 37% chance to win. This figure is based on normalised odds, head-to-head record (5 wins in 9 meetings), and current league positions, though the team's recent away form is inconsistent.
- When is the Provincial Ovalle vs Deportes Colina match?
- The match is on Sep 07, 2026, at 21:00 local time. It is a Round fixture in the Chilean Segunda Division.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The best odds available from the data are 3.00 for a Provincial Ovalle win, 2.85 for a draw, and 2.90 for a Deportes Colina victory. These odds suggest a tight game with no clear favourite.