PSM Makassar - Madura United prediction 31 October 2026

This PSM Makassar vs Madura United prediction covers the Liga 1 match on October 31, 2026 at 08:30. Based on the odds, team form, and league table, PSM Makassar have a 40% chance of winning, while the draw is at 30% and Madura United sit at 30%.

Team Form

PSM Makassar come into this match with a mixed run: two wins, two draws and one loss in their last five results (W, W, L, D, D).

• PSM Makassar 1–0 Persebaya Surabaya (Oct 22)
• PSIM Yogyakarta 1–2 PSM Makassar (Oct 16)
• PSS Sleman 3–0 PSM Makassar (Oct 11)
• PSM Makassar 2–2 Persita Tangerang (Sep 19)
• PSM Makassar 3–3 Arema Indonesia (Sep 13)

Madura United have been slightly more convincing, with three wins, one draw and one loss in their last five (W, D, L, W, W).

• Madura United 1–0 Persib Bandung (Oct 22)
• Madura United 3–3 Bhayangkara Surabaya United (Oct 16)
• Persik Kediri 2–0 Madura United (Oct 9)
• Madura United 2–1 PSIM Yogyakarta (Sep 18)
• PSS Sleman 1–3 Madura United (Sep 12)

Head-to-Head Record

Overall H2H: PSM Makassar wins 3, draws 1, Madura United wins 3.

Recent Liga 1 meetings:

• May 23, 2026: Madura United 2–0 PSM Makassar
• Nov 2, 2025: PSM Makassar 1–1 Madura United
• Mar 2, 2025: Madura United 1–3 PSM Makassar
• Oct 18, 2024: PSM Makassar 2–0 Madura United
• Oct 8, 2023: PSM Makassar 0–2 Madura United

This is an even rivalry, with no clear H2H edge.

League Table Positions

Madura United are 4th in Liga 1 with 13 points from 6 matches (4W, 1D, 1L). PSM Makassar are 12th with 8 points from 6 matches (2W, 2D, 2L).

At home, PSM Makassar are ranked 8th with 3 points from 3 home games (1W, 0D, 2L, 3 goals scored, 7 conceded). Madura United are 6th away with 3 points from 2 away games (1W, 0D, 1L, 3 goals scored, 3 conceded).

Win Probability: PSM Makassar or Madura United?

Using the bookmaker odds as a base (2.15 for PSM Makassar, 2.25 for the draw, 3.30 for Madura United), the implied probabilities after removing the margin are approximately 38% home, 37% draw, and 25% away. Adjusting for league positions, recent form, and home advantage, the final probability estimate is: PSM Makassar has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Madura United has a 30% chance.

PSM Makassar have home advantage but a weak home record so far, while Madura United have a better league position and stronger recent results. The most likely match outcome is a narrow PSM Makassar win, but the margin is thin.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see PSM Makassar as the slight favorite: 2.15 to win, 2.25 for a draw, and 3.30 for Madura United. A second bookmaker lists 2.12, 2.12, and 3.50. These odds align with the home advantage but do not show a strong favorite.

Based on the stats, the final prediction is a close match. PSM Makassar are the most likely winner at 40%, but the draw and Madura United are both realistic outcomes at 30% each. From a betting perspective, the odds on the draw and away win look competitive.